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Analysis : Middle
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Iraq: Agreement struck to end fighting in Sadr City
By James Cogan
12 May 2008
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Representatives of the Iraqi government and the Shiite Sadrist
movement led by cleric Moqtada al-Sadr announced on Saturday that
an agreement had been reached to end the six-week siege by US
and government forces of Sadr Citythe Baghdad working class
district of over two million people that is the Sadrists
most important stronghold.
Meetings to negotiate the agreement were organised by the United
Iraqi Alliance (UIA), the coalition of Shiite parties that dominates
the US-backed government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and
to which the Sadrists belonged until last September. Iranian officials
also reportedly played a role in brokering the deal.
The agreement represents a back down from confrontation by
both rival Iraqi Shiite factions. It was reached amid rumours
of a major offensive into Sadr City by US and government troops
and political moves in the parliament to prohibit the Sadrists
from participating in the October provincial elections. Had either
attack on the Sadrists proceeded, its leadership would have come
under enormous pressure from its working class, anti-occupation
social base to call for a wholesale uprising against the US forces
and the Maliki government.
The 14-point terms stipulate that the Sadrist Mahdi Army militia
must leave the streets by Tuesday and cease all rocket and mortar
attacks on occupation and Iraqi government forces. The militiamen,
however, do not have to hand in their weaponsone of the
central demands previously made by Maliki for an end to the siege.
Roadblocks will be lifted to allow food and other emergency aid
into the suburb, and the checkpoints monitoring traffic in and
out of Sadr City will be manned by Iraqi police, not American
troops. For the moment, all talk of politically disenfranchising
the Sadrists has ceased. The Sadrist movement holds 30 of the
275 seats in the national parliament and is expected to poll well
in provincial elections, particularly in areas like Sadr City.
A leader of the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq (ISCI), the
largest Shiite party in the government and the main political
rival of the Sadrists, publicly thanked Iran for its sensitive
and vital role in reconciling the Shiite parties in Iraqhowever
temporarily. The Iranian regime was also involved in negotiating
an end to Sadrist resistance to the Malikis governments
offensive to take control of the southern port city of Basra and
the main southern oilfields. The Basra operation triggered the
fighting in Baghdad.
Tehrans efforts to stave off a Shiite uprising in Iraq
highlight its sensitivity to the intense hatred of the US occupation
among the countrys millions of Shiite working class and
urban poor. It has no more desire to see an uprising than do the
representatives of the Iraq Shiite elite. As well as threatening
wider regional unrest, including in Iran, an uprising would almost
certainly result in the Bush administration seeking to put the
Iraqi state in the hands of Sunni-based parties and militias that
are hostile to Iran, rather than sympathetic Shiite parties such
as ISCI and Malikis Dawa Party.
The basis for a shift toward Sunni elements was established
during last years surge by US troops. Over the
past 18 months, American commanders have struck agreements with
various Sunni groups that were opposed to the occupation but felt
more threatened by Shiite control over the Iraqi government. More
than 80,000 Sunni militiamen are now working with the US occupation
and, in many cases, are being paid by the US military.
The agreement in Sadr City allows the Sadrist leadership to
claim to the Shiite working class and urban poor that it has won
something of a victory. After more than 40 days of fighting, the
Mahdi Army has not been destroyed in Baghdad, it will not be disbanded
and the Sadrists have not been banned. According to media reports,
militia fighters are obeying the instructions to cease attacks
on the occupation forces and have abandoned their barricades and
firing positions.
For its part, the Bush White House has sent out signals that
it is far from satisfied with the Maliki governments agreement
to a ceasefire that was worked out with Iranian participation.
A US military spokesman, Rear Admiral Patrick Driscoll, told a
press conference on Sunday: It is premature to say there
is a truce, but a process of negotiations is on.
Another spokesman, Lieutenant Colonel Steven Stover stated:
This agreement really doesnt change anything for us.
If we see criminal activitya guy with a rockets, mortars
or planting an IED (improvised explosive device)we will
kill him.
US objectives
The coming days may well see deliberate US actions to sabotage
the agreement and reignite fighting. The Bush administrations
objective is not a settlement with the Sadrists and the Mahdi
Army, but the shattering of their political and military strength.
While Moqtada al-Sadr ended a short-lived uprising and came
to a political accommodation with the US occupation in August
2004, the Mahdi Army was kept by the Sadrists as a rival body
to the US trained and armed Iraqi security forces. It has functioned
both as a security apparatus in Shiite areas and as one of the
deadliest protagonists in the sectarian Shiite-Sunni civil war
that raged across Iraq in 2006-07.
The Mahdi Army was widely blamed for the revenge killings that
followed the destruction of the Shiite Al-Askiriya mosque by alleged
Sunni extremists and ultimately forced hundreds of thousands of
Sunnis and Christians in Baghdad and other cities to flee their
homes. The US military regularly accuses rogue or
criminal factions of the militia of receiving equipment
from Iranian special forces and continuing attacks on American
troops in defiance of a ceasefire ordered by Sadr.
The desire of the US occupation to break up the Mahdi Army,
however, is not due to its role in sectarian violence or supposed
Iranian links. It is due to the support of millions of Iraqis,
particularly in the Shiite population, for the Sadrists
denunciations of US foreign policy in the Middle East as colonialist;
their demand that US troops must leave Iraq; and their opposition
to granting contracts over Iraqi oil and gas to American or other
foreign transnationals.
Violence and repression are being unleashed, from Basra in
the south to Baghdad, in order to suppress such views. Last Thursday,
American and government troops stormed the offices of the Sadrist
Al Ahad radio station on the outskirts of Sadr City and shut down
its broadcasts.
The US military has inflicted horrific death and destruction
in the densely populated streets of Sadr City over the past six
weeks. Fighting began on March 26 after Sadrist leaders in Baghdad
responded to Malikis assault on the movements supporters
in the southern city of Basra with militia attacks on US and government
forces and threats of strikes and mass protests. The Sadrists
did so with overwhelming support in Sadr City, where tens of thousands
of people spontaneously demonstrated in a show of hostility and
defiance toward the occupation.
Within hours, American and Iraqi army units had established
a cordon around the suburb. Over the following days, they pushed
forward from the concrete walls they built last year on the outskirts
of Sadr City into the districts of Ishbilayah and Habbibiyah.
Mahdi Army militiamen put up determined resistance and were answered
with indiscriminate US air strikes and ground artillery bombardments.
According to Iraqi police sources cited by Azzaman, at
least 310 buildings and 625 shops were destroyed or damaged. Large
parts of Jamil market, a major shopping area that covers an entire
city block, were burnt to the ground.
By April 19, the occupation forces had secured positions along
the major Quds Street thoroughfare and had advanced two city blocks
to the major 55 Circle intersection in the geographical centre
of Sadr City. Since then, American army engineers have been enclosing
the area under US control with 3.7 metre (12 foot) high concrete
slabs, each weighing over five tonnes. According to Radio Free
Europe (RFE), as many as 1,000 slabs had been put into position
by May 7.
As work to erect the wall proceeded, US ground forces engaged
in daily clashes with militiamen, while aircraft and helicopter
gunships launched repeated strikes throughout Sadr City. Hundreds
of civilians were killed or wounded. The Iraqi government released
an estimate of 925 deaths and 2,600 injuries up to April 29. The
carnage has since continued unabated. On May 3, US missiles slammed
into a building next to the Al Sadr Hospital in the north east
of the suburb, wounding at least 20 people and destroying at least
17 ambulances.
The US military has made clear that the weekend agreement will
have no impact on their plan to transform the south eastern blocks
of Sadr City into a ghetto. US commander Brigadier General James
Milano told journalists on Sunday that the wall was 80 percent
complete and that work would continue.
Claire Hajaj, a United Nations Childrens Fund representative,
told the Associated Press (AP) that as many as 150,000 people,
including 75,000 children, were trapped within the affected area.
How many people were living there before the offensive began has
not been reported. Hajaj said that some 6,000 residents had fled
their homes and that some areas of southeastern Sadr City
were virtually abandoned. A city councillor told the AP
that at least 8,000 families had left.
The plight of the civilian population across Sadr City is dire.
In most areas of the suburb, the April food ration, which many
Iraqis depend upon, was not distributed. US bombs have damaged
power lines, water pipes and sewerage mains. Hundreds of thousands
of people are relying on cisterns, which are being sporadically
filled by water tankers. There are concerns that the cisterns
could be contaminated by the effluent flowing through the streets.
Garbage is also not being collected, raising fears of other diseases.
While two major hospitals are functioning, they are desperately
short of supplies. The Zahra Maternity Hospital, which is located
just north of Quds Street and is therefore in an area where the
Mahdi Army is conducting counter-attacks on occupation forces,
is closed.
The US military has not stated what its intentions are once
the south eastern sectors have been walled off from the rest of
Sadr City. The likely scenario, however, was that it intends to
push forward several more city blocks to carve out another ghetto.
An Iraqi government spokesman, Tahseen al-Sheikhly, told last
weeks Time magazine: There will be a big offensive
soon. According to Sheikhly, two sports stadiums and a military
base were being prepared to house a flood of refugees from Sadr
City.
According to an Agence France Presse report on Sunday, the
US brigades in south-eastern Sadr City are still in place and
there has been no reduction in the number of American aircraft,
helicopters and Predator drones flying overhead.
See Also:
Hospital struck as US military tightens
siege of Baghdad's Sadr City
[5 May 2008]
Another political show trial in Baghdad:
Tariq Aziz charged with genocide
[3 May 2008]
Five years after "mission accomplished,"
sharp rise in Iraqi and US casualties
[2 May 2008]
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