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Spain: The Popular Party begins to fracture
By Vicky Short and Paul Stuart
20 June 2008
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Spains right-wing opposition Popular Party (PP) is engulfed
in a bitter internal political as todays three-day national
conference begins.
The pro-PP El Mundo says the atmosphere inside the party
resembles a state of paranoia. According to ABC,
PP officials are trying to prevent these tensions erupting at
the conference and opening the Pandora box of confrontations
in the streets.
The immediate source of the conflict is the PPs two successive
general election defeats, in March 2004 and March 2008. More fundamentally,
it represents the fracturing of the PP whose architect was the
Francoist minister Manuel Fraga and the unravelling of the 1978
constitutional arrangements that were put into place during the
transition to democracy after Francos death
in 1975.
Just before the March 2007 national elections, the popularity
of the ruling Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) had hit a low and
commentators anticipated a narrow PP victory. However, the PSOE
was re-elected due to popular hostility to the PPs neo-liberal
economic policies and its support for the war in Iraqthe
same political hostility that brought the PSOE, the undeserving
beneficiary of a leftward radicalisation of the working class,
into office in March 2004.
The PP reacted to defeat with undisguised fury. Denouncing
the new government as illegitimate and the product of a left-wing
coup, defeated PP leader José Maria Aznar and the PP launched
a four-year campaign of confrontation together with
the Catholic Church and sections of the armyinvolving repeated
provocations on the issues of regional autonomy, negotiations
with the armed Basque separatist ETA, the PSOEs social policies
and in defence of Francos heritage. In early 2007, Aznar
declared that the post-Franco bipartisan compact was destroyed.
This right-wing offensive saw PSOE politicians violently assaulted,
bishops leading right-wing marches, and threats by the military
to march on Madrid. This galvanised popular hostility to the PP
and assisted the PSOEs re-election. Shortly before the 2008
election, the partys media chief, Gabriel Elorriaga, admitted
that the PP had a very hard, right-wing image at the moment
and that Even our own voters think they are more centrist
than the PP.
Others declared it was impossible to defeat the PSOE based
on such a campaign. The founder of El Mundo, Pedro José
Ramírez, provoked consternation by urging the PP to abandon
its hostility to gay marriage, embryo research and negotiations
with ETA. The problem, however, is that whilst ditching such positions
could secure a temporary electoral advantage, it could also see
the PP start to break up by alienating its most hard-line fascistic
layers.
In the hours following this years election defeat, the
right-wing press led by El Mundo turned its fire on Rajoy,
whom it felt was too closely identified with the politics
of confrontation. It asked, Is Rajoy the leader the
PP needs to beat Zapatero in 2012? He himself encouraged doubts
last night by avoiding confirmation that he is going to continue
at the helm of the party and even suggesting the opposite. The
sparse enthusiasm he showed when addressing his followershonest
and conscious as alwaysfeeds speculation.
Instead of resigning, as many expected, Rajoy announced he
wanted to stay on as leader in order to take the party to the
political centre. Rajoys apparent change of
direction is tactical. Despite supporting the rightist offensive
to destabilise and remove the PSOE, he has also drawn the conclusion,
like Elorriaga and Ramírez, that such a campaign had backfired.
He has warned that the PP is in danger of becoming a party of
two million votersi.e., a fascistic hardcoreand
that it has to integrate different ways of seeing things...be
able to find the support of 12 or 13 million votes at the next
general election.
And at the beginning of June, he insisted again that the PP
had to be in the centre, speak to everyone and not always
place itself on a corner and criticised those who had been
publicly challenging his principles.
On June 17, Madrid Mayor Alberto Ruiz-Gallardón, a close
supporter of Rajoy, directed his fire at the fascist right, saying,
The key to our next victory is to ensure that when citizens
think about the PP, they think about the future. We have to come
up with a project that looks to the future, not one that is trapped
in the past.
The most aggressive opponent of Rajoy remaining as PP leader
was Ramírez, who made an unprecedented outburst on the
Catholic Churchs radio station COPE, describing Rajoy as
a spoiled brat who acts with despotic manners, an
inept leader and a cannibalistic politician.
The notorious COPE radio presenter, Federico Jiménez Losantos,
went on air asking for forgiveness for advising his listeners
to vote for Rajoy in the general election. Aznar joined the fray,
declaring that the PP needed a leadership that didnt have
complexes about the past.
Ramírez called on PP politicians to lead an uprising
against the PP leader and made overtures to the likes of PP deputy
leader Juan Costa. Costa has said that the generation that grew
up in Aznars shadow is now ready to take over, with
experience, talent and determination, like the PPs
shadow minister for foreign affairs, Gustavo de Aristegui, or
someone...from Esperanza Aguirres team, some youth
who believes in the democratic ideals.
Aguirre, president of the Madrid region, is one of the few
who have hinted at challenging Rajoy for party leadership. Rajoy
responded by implying that Aguirre could always join the Liberal
Party.
After the election, in what his opponents saw as a capitulation
to the PSOE, Rajoy set about appointing younger members, including
the 36-year-old Soraya Sáenz de Santamaria as PP spokesperson
in Congress. Santamaria declared that the PP now stood for the
defence of public health and education and an indispensable
social coverage. Rajoy offered a front-bench position to
Ruiz-Gallardón, an opponent of Esperanza Aguirre, who said,
Today, I dont know but in 2012, if we succeed in doing
good work many PSOE voters will vote for the PP because the centre
is the only political space.
Since the election defeat, a number of right-wing figures have
resigned. On April 29, Eduardo Zaplana, a former minister of employment
and social security and the main PP spokesman in Congress, announced
his departure, followed a few days later by Ángel Acebes,
the minister responsible for Homeland Security and Police when
the Madrid bombings occurred. Acebes made repeated public accusations
that the bombings were the work of Basque separatist organisation
ETA, despite clear evidence that the atrocity was the work of
Islamic terrorists.
At the end of May, María San Gil, president of the Basque
PP, and José Antonio Ortega Lara (a PP activist and former
prison officer kidnapped by ETA in 1996 and held captive for more
than a year) also announced their resignations. Periodical
described the resignations as having an organised character. Both
said that Rajoy would capitulate to the moderate nationalist Basque
Nationalist Party (PNV) that runs the Basque region and is planning
a referendum they claim would be the first step towards separation
from Spain.
San Gil has since brought forward the date of the Basque PP
regional conference. He immediately received the support of Aznar,
who announced that he was deeply unhappy about the
crisis, and his wife, Ana Botella, who called her a moral,
political and emotional reference point.
Aznar made his statement on his return from Peru. He is facing
serious allegations that the PP, with the CIA, is training and
fomenting right-wing movements throughout Latin America. In January
2006, discussing the emergence of populist leaders in South America
such as Evo Morales and Hugo Chavez, Aznar told the Chilean newspaper
Mercurio, I hope that the populist wave is stopped.
Somebody has to do it, somebody has to say that this is not the
way. Im prepared to do it and I know that I have a lot of
friends in the area ready to help. So were going to see
if we can get organised and do it.
Following the resignation of San Gil and Ortega Lara, a mob
gathered outside the PP headquarters hurling insults at Rajoy
and calling for his immediate resignation. They shouted, Rajoy
has betrayed my vote, Give me my vote back and
Go now.
Elorriaga, one of Rajoys closest allies, declared, We
have a project, and we have people.... What we need now is renewed,
solid and unifying leadership, and this is something which, although
it pains me to say it, Mariano Rajoy is not in a position to offer.
Significantly there have also been denunciations of Manuel
Fraga demanding he retire and stop interfering. The Irish Times
reported at a recent ETA victims memorial ceremony in Madrid
that a mainly middle class crowd enthusiastically chanted for
Aguirre, Presidente, Presidente, whilst booing Rajoy
and Gallardon and jeering Fraga.
Fraga, one of the most experienced and pragmatic rightist politicians,
has been aware, since the collapse of the Franco dictatorship,
that for the right-wing to survive it has to develop a more populist
appeal and distance itself from its fascist roots. He was minister
of information and tourism during the Franco regime between 1962
and 1969, and became interior minister in the first short-lived
right-wing government after Francos death in 1975. The following
year, Fraga helped found the Peoples Alliance (AP) and became
its president.
Fraga represented a wing of the Francoists that understood
the necessity to overhaul the isolated national economic policies
that had led to stagnation and decline. After Francos death,
he thought it could be done through the apparatus of the fascist
state, but that perspective was soon under threat from the revolutionary
aspirations of the working class. In 1978, he worked with the
Stalinist Communist Party of Spain (PCE) and the PSOE to draw
up a new Constitution and effect a peaceful transition to
democracy that left the fascists untouched and ensured the
continuity of bourgeois rule.
In 1989, he helped create the PP out of the ashes of the AP,
incorporating self-proclaimed conservatives, liberals, Christian
democrats and monarchists. But as one commentator has noted, few
within the PP hierarchy have ever actually revealed their true
ideological leanings in public. As Rajoy now tries to move
the PP to the centre, these ideological leanings, hidden for so
long, are coming to the surface.
A number of observers compare the present turmoil in the PP
with splits and crises in the PA in the early 1980s. There are
important parallelsa period of permanent crisis for the
fascist right where parties rapidly appeared and disappeared and
had no stable political base. But there are significant differences.
In 1989, out of the period of crisis, the PP was formed. Fraga
managed its factions based on an expanding economy. The present
turmoil in the right wing comes as the economic arrangements underpinning
this stability are in crisis. The International Monetary Fund
has warned Spain that it will be one of the hardest hit by the
mounting world economic crisis.
The more-farsighted PSOE politicians are deeply troubled by
the escalating tensions in the PP and correctly fear that it is
a further escalation in the collapse of the political arrangements
established in the transition. The PSOE is aware that political
tensions are tearing apart other political tendencies that were
signatories to the 1978 constitutional arrangements, most notably
the former coalition partner of the PSOE, the United Left (IU),
made up of remnants of the Communist Party, whose vote in the
March elections slumped.
Over the last four years, Zapatero has sought to encourage
Rajoys move to the centre and separate him from
the extreme right, whilst arguing with the far right to reengage
with the democratic process to prevent such a public
conflict. Zapatero and Rajoy are working hard to prevent the present
conflicts escalating into a full-blown crisis of rule, resulting
in an open conflict with a radicalised and combative working class.
As popular hostility to the PP grows and an economic crisis is
worsening by the day, the entire project of the transition is
falling apart.
See Also:
Spain: Socialist Party wins
a second term in government
[12 March 2008]
Political instability and
social struggles will follow Spains general election
[8 March 2008]
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