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North Korea makes initial nuclear disarmament gestures
By Alex Lantier
28 June 2008
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By blowing up the cooling tower of its Yongbyon nuclear facility
yesterday and publishing a report on its nuclear program on June
26, North Korea signaled its willingness to begin a nuclear disarmament
program. In accepting the report, while saying it will make as
few concessions to North Korea as possible, Washington is acknowledging
its political and military weakness in this crucial region, while
leaving itself the option of later returning to a more belligerent
policy.
Pyongyang agreed to make such a report in October 2007, at
six-party talksincluding the US, China, Russia, Japan, South
Korea, and North Koreathat began meeting in 2003 amid growing
tensions between the US and North Korea. North Korea announced
that it had a nuclear bomb in 2005, and has since been negotiating
with the US to obtain security guarantees in exchange for concessions
on its nuclear program.
North Korea did not file the declaration by the December 31,
2007 deadline, due to disagreements with the US over the contents.
However, the Bush administration has accepted the present report
and North Korean assurances of US access to its nuclear facilities.
North Koreas report stated that it had produced roughly
40 kg of plutoniumenough for 6 to 10 nuclear bombs, and
within the range of 30 to 50 kg expected by US intelligence analysts.
US officials said North Korea had agreed to allow US inspectors
to collect independent samples of nuclear waste at Yongbyon, take
samples of the reactor core, and access 18,000 pages of operational
records. US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice told reporters
at a G8 meeting in Kyoto, Japan that she believed the US had the
means by which to verify the completeness and accuracy of the
document.
Chinas vice-Foreign Minister Wu Dawei, host of the Beijing
talks and the first recipient of the North Korean report, said
that the US should implement its obligations to remove the
designation of [North Korea] as a state sponsor of terrorism and
to terminate application of the Trading with the Enemy Act,a
law banning US companies from trading with states judged hostile
to Washingtonwith respect to North Korea.
Washington did act to end North Koreas listing under
the Trading with the Enemy Act and has begun the 45-day process
to remove North Korea from the terrorism list, but these moves
will lead at most to a slight relaxing of North Koreas crippling
economic isolation and are in any case easily reversible. In a
June 26 press conference, Bush said: The two actions America
is taking will have little impact on North Koreas financial
and diplomatic isolation. North Korea will remain one of the most
heavily sanctioned nations in the world.
US Defense Secretary Robert Gates added: The reality
is that there are so many other sanctions on North Korea because
of its other behaviors that theres really no practical effect
of taking them off the terrorist list.
US officials have also questioned whether the North Korean
report discloses all the plutonium it produced, noting that the
report gives no information about any potential nuclear bombs
or its alleged uranium enrichment program.
The administration is trying to appease bitter opposition to
any easing of pressure on North Korea from the right wing of the
Republican Party. John Bolton, the former Bush administration
ambassador to the UN, said the accord was shameful
and the final collapse of Bushs foreign policy.
Vice-President Dick Cheneys response was even more remarkable,
according to a June 27 account of a foreign policy meeting published
in the New York Times. Upon receiving a question on Korea,
Cheney froze, the newspaper reported.
The Times continued: For more than 30 minutes
he had been taking and answering questions, without missing a
beat. But now, for several long seconds, he stared, unsmilingly,
at his questioner, Steven Clemons of the New America Foundation
[...] Finally he spoke: Im not going to be the one
to announce this decision, the other participants recall
Mr. Cheney saying, pointing at himself. You need to address
your interest in this to the State Department. He then declared
he was done taking questions, and left the room.
The Bush administrations policy towards North Koreaisolating
it and threatening it with military force, in order to break up
a potential realignment in Northeast Asia unfavorable to US strategic
and commercial interestsis in shambles. With the US military
absorbed by bloody and unpopular occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan,
US geopolitical influence is receding, even as the regions
strategic importance grows rapidly.
Shortly after taking office in March 2001, the Bush administration
broke off the talks with North Korea held by the Clinton administration.
This effectively ended then-South Korean President Kim Dae Jungs
Sunshine Policy of building economic and political
links to North Korea, which threatened to bring about greater
regional integration between Japan, China, Korea, and the broader
Eurasian continent. After the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks,
Bush named North Korea as part of the axis of evil
and maintained diplomatic and military pressure on it throughout
the initial stages of the Iraq occupation.
The Iraq war soon began to limit US influence in Northeast
Asia, however. In May 2004 the US began to pull out some troops
from South Korea, which has hosted US forces since the 1950-1953
Korean War, to send them to the Middle East. In February 2005
North Korea announced that it had nuclear weapons. It carried
out a nuclear test blast with unclear results in October 2006,
and Rices subsequent tour of the region to isolate North
Korea failed to garner support. The February 2007 six-party accord
to begin disarmament came on the heels of the Bush administrations
defeat in the November 2006 US mid-term elections.
The rudderlessness of Bush administration Northeast Asia policy
is a matter of serious concern inside the US bourgeoisie. In testimony
last month to the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Dr. Kurt
Campbell of the Center for a New American Security said: Some
of the Presidents closest advisers have told him to spend
all his waking hours on selling an increasingly skeptical American
populace on the necessity of continuing with the [Iraq] war. ...
Another set of advisers argue that the United States must begin
to put Iraq in context and focus on other issues of importance,
such as the drama playing out in Asia and in particular Chinas
dramatic ascent.
Though Northeast Asia is still economically dependent on exports
to the US, intraregional trade is growing rapidly. China has emerged
particularly as an exporter of consumer goods to wealthier markets
in Japan and Korea, and Japan and Korea export capital goods to
China. China overtook the US as South Koreas largest trading
partner in 2003, and in 2005 China-South Korea trade was $100
billion, versus $70 billion for Japan-South Korea and US-South
Korea trade. In 2007 Japan-China trade was ¥ 29.36 trillion,
versus ¥ 24.84 for Japan-US trade.
China is also using its economic growth to fund a substantial
increase in military spending, focusing largely on Taiwan and
control of shipping lanes. The presence of North Korea as a buffer
between China and well-equipped US and South Korean forces frees
up resources that China would otherwise have to spend on an extensive
military presence along the China-Korea border.
As US-China competition over key shipping lanes grows, the
unpopularity of US military deployments in Japan and South Korea
dating to the end of World War II is reaching crisis proportions,
forcing a pull-back of US troops from certain controversial bases.
As the Sydney Morning Herald notes, the Americans
have been modifying their positioning of forces along the East-Asian
coast [...] The unpopular US forces are being wound down in South
Korea and Japans Okinawa islands and relocated to Guam,
a US territory. A lasting détente on the Korean peninsula
will hasten the process.
The ongoing mass demonstrations in South Korea against US beef
imports, which have rocked the conservative government of President
Lee Myung-bak, indicate the explosive tensions building up in
the region. The demonstrations reflect not only opposition to
lax sanitary procedures in the US meat industry, but broader political
concernsthe presence of US military personnel in South Korea,
and the US governments backing for repressive, authoritarian
regimes in South Korea in the 35 years after the Korean War.
See Also:
South Korean government tries to stem
protests against US beef imports
[24 June 2008]
Uncertainty hangs
over deal to disable North Koreas nuclear facilities
[10 October 2007]
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