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South Africa hit by power cuts
By Chris Talbot
29 January 2008
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For more than two weeks, South African cities have suffered
electricity power cuts lasting several hours. The mainly black
townships have often had power cuts in the past, but the present
round of blackouts is affecting all areas, including those of
the mainly white middle class.
Traffic has ground to a halt as traffic lights stopped working,
and thousands of business users and others who can afford it are
being forced to switch to emergency generators. Doctors have complained
that power has gone down in the middle of operations in hospitals,
putting patients at risk. Tourists were stranded for hours when
the cable car to Table Mountain was halted by a power cut.
Last Thursday was the worst day so far for the power outages,
and the countrys main gold-mining companies, AngloGold Ashanti,
Gold Fields and Harmony, as well as the platinum miners Anglo
Platinum and Impala Platinum, were forced to stop production.
This followed the state electricity power company, Eskom, announcing
it could no longer guarantee supplies, with the risk that miners
could be trapped underground. A spokesman for AngloGold said,
We are only running power for emergency supplies, such as
pumping water out, and have stopped producing at all mines.
Eskom has told its big industrial customers, mainly large-scale
mines, they would have supply reduced to survival levels
or be switched off totally for the next two to four weeks. The
impact on South Africas economy could hardly be more serious,
with 45 percent of South African Gross Domestic Production coming
from mineral production.
South Africas ANC government held a three-day-long cabinet
meeting to discuss the crisis. Public Enterprises Minister Alec
Erwin declared the power shortage to be a national emergency.
He said, We are viewing the next two years as being critical.
At first, Eskom blamed the weather conditions for the shortages,
then switched to blaming the countrys high economic growth
rate for using up spare capacity. They claim that power stations
have been closed down for maintenance to make sure they are ready
for the winter.
Eskom said that the power cuts were not because our infrastructure
is falling apart, but because our economy is growing. Such
platitudes can hardly cover over the complete lack of planning
that is now threatening the livelihoods and safety of millions
of South Africans. Apparently, Eskom has reserve margins of only
4 percent compared to the international benchmark of 15 percent.
World gold and platinum prices reached record highs after the
announcement of mine closures was made. South Africa is the second
largest producer of gold in the world, recently being overtaken
by China. It produces most of the worlds platinum with a
global market share of nearly 80 percentAnglo Platinum is
the worlds biggest platinum producer and Impala Platinum
is the second largest. Platinums main use, apart from jewellery,
is in catalysts for vehicle exhausts. Also hit is rhodium production,
rhodium being the other key metal used in car catalysts. South
Africa produces more than 70 percent of the worlds supply.
Mining corporations are said to be postponing plans for expansion,
with BHP Billiton saying it is stopping plans for expanding two
aluminium smelters. Eskom relies on coal-fired power stations
for 90 percent of its total electricity generation, and coal mining
is also being hit. Anglo American announced that five of its nine
coal mines had stopped production because of the power cuts.
The blackouts are also affecting other parts of the African
continent. South Africa exports 5 percent of its electricity to
Zimbabwe, Zambia, Botswana, Mozambique and Namibia. There are
calls in the South African media and opposition politicians for
exports to Zimbabwe to be cut completely, as it does not pay its
bills. This would only exacerbate the virtual economic collapse
of South Africas neighbour. It would increase the suffering
of the Zimbabwean population who are facing inflation of over
150,000 percent. An estimated 2.5 million of its population have
already fled to South Africa. Even more would be forced to follow
them if the power were turned off.
The South African Human Rights Commission (SAHRC) has protested
that Eskom is not providing adequate and accurate information
to its consumers about when power cuts will take place. It refers
to reports that emergency services, hospitals and healthcare facilities
are not being notified and suggested that cuts were hitting the
poorest areas most: It has also been mooted that there is
no equitable load shedding across all areas.
The ANC government has admitted its responsibility for the
power shortages. President Mbeki himself took the blame in December
for not listening to the warnings made by Eskom 10 years ago that
it could be falling short of demand by 2007 without building new
power stations.
What he failed to explain was that the government was following
International Monetary Fund (IMF) policies in attempting to privatise
Eskom in the late 1990s. That attempt failed because private investors
did not see Eskom with its ancient infrastructure yielding them
adequate profits. The government also followed IMF directives
in holding back on state spending and squeezed infrastructure
projects.
Like the public sector as a whole, Eskom has been underfunded,
with reports of technicians having left in their droves,
according to the Daily News, to work in the better-paid
private sector jobs. Because of this, repairs to cables and transformers
have been delayed, adding to the overall shortfall in electricity
production.
Last year, the government did eventually give Eskom the go-ahead
to plan a new power station building programme. It is expected
the details will be announced shortly and will include capital
expenditure of US$42 billion to build a new generation of power
stations. However, these will take five years to build, so that
power cuts are likely to continue for the foreseeable future.
Like Eskom, the government has also blamed the crisis on several
years of economic growth. But the growth rates were expected according
to the governments own predictions and could have been planned
for. It has also cited the connecting up of black townships that
were not connected to electricity supplies under apartheidagain,
measures that it had planned and that could have been met with
greater power production.
One of the main government concerns in the present crisis is
that the Fifa 2010 World Cup will be affectedand projected
increases in tourism. Eskom has pledged to supply enough power
to the football stadiums, but Michael Tatalias, chief executive
of the Southern Africa Tourism Services Association, complained:
Will people come..if they know they will be going back to
hotels and guest houses with no power?
The short-term response of the government is to make working
people pay for the power shortages. They intend to impose large
price increases for electricity and impose penalties to discourage
electricity usage. Eskom is calling for cuts in consumption by
20 percent or to make the population face rationing enforced by
fines and the threat of disconnection if quotas are exceeded.
There are acute divisions within the ANC leadership after Mbeki
was defeated in the leadership elections in December by Jacob
Zuma. Only a week after his election, the National Prosecuting
Authority announced that it was again charging Zuma for corruptionprevious
charges being dropped for lack of evidence. Mbekiwidely
seen as being instigator of the court casewill remain in
power until 2009 but with a majority opposition within the ANC.
Despite the populist pledges made by Zuma to look after the
poor and unemployed, there are no indications of fundamental differences
with the government over its handling of the power crisis. The
main political organisation backing Zuma, the South African Communist
Party, protests at the macro-economic strategy [of the ANC]
that was not developmental in its statement on the power
cuts. It calls for a better and well managed load shedding
process that does not favour the rich at the expense
of the poor. Otherwise, it pledges its support for ANC calls
for the government to immediately come up with an emergency
national plan to address this issuewhich can only
mean imposing price increases and cuts in consumption on the population.
See Also:
Zuma's election heralds
instability
[22 December 2007]
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