|
WSWS : News
& Analysis : Middle
East : Turkey
Turkish jobless rate increases dramatically
By Sinan Ikinci
23 February 2008
Use
this version to print
| Send this
link by email | Email
the author
According to recent data published by the Turkish Statistical
Institute (TUIK), the countrys official unemployment rate
once again neared the crisis level of 2001, rising to 10.1 percent
in November 2007. One year ago, unemployment stood at 9.6 percent.
The last five years under the Justice and Development Party
(AKP) were a period of rapid growth based mainly on foreign capital
inflows. However, the reduction in unemployment was insignificant
in spite of this fast growth and a significant increase in exports.
Some economists name this development jobless-growth.
Over this period, the rate of investment has significantly
fallen, public finances have deteriorated, and social and economic
inequality have intensified as a result of falling real wages
and increased profits.
The attack on jobs and livings standards has been facilitated
by the betrayals of the trade union bureaucracy. Before the 2001
crisis, the Turkish trade union confederations signed successive
agreements with the government and employers, which kept real
wages depressed. As the economy plunged into the most severe crisis
Turkey has seen in its modern history, real wages plummeted even
further. The trade unions functioned to suppress the resistance
of workers, paving the way for the so-called recovery
program, which has boosted profits at the expense of workers
jobs and living standards.
Now, as the pace of economic growth slows down, the unemployment
rate has started to increase rapidlyin other words, the
jobless-growth period is now being replaced by a increasing
unemployment-slow growth period.
The Turkish economy slowed in the third quarter to its lowest
level since the 2001 crisis. Gross domestic product growth in
the third quarter of 2007 was a meagre 1.5 percent, and in December
2007, one of the most critical leading indicators of growth, industrial
output, declined 1.4 percent compared to the same month of 2006.
In 2000, the countrys unemployment rate was 6.5 percent,
and this ratio jumped to 10.3 percent immediately after the devastating
2001 financial crisis. It will come as no surprise if the unemployment
rate exceeds the level of 2001 in the first half of this year.
Like all official unemployment data around the world, Turkeys
official figures grossly underestimate the actual percentage of
jobless workers because they ignore those who fallen out of the
labour market and those employed in the so-called informal sector
of the economy. Some economists say the real unemployment rate
is closer to 20 percent. Nevertheless, official figures give an
idea of worsening trends and show that difficult times are ahead
for the Turkish working class and other layers of the population.
Joblessness is very high among the young urban dwellers (15-24
age group) and is now worse than during the 2001 crisis. Turkey
has a huge youth population in comparison to Europe, as well as
the rest of the industrialised world. Every year, approximately
600,000 new workers join the countrys workforce. The official
unemployment rate in this age group was 20 percent in November
2007. In 2000, the rate was 13.1 percent. It jumped to 19.2 percent
in the aftermath of the 2001 crisis.
Economic policies shaped under the auspices of the international
banks have already undermined social conditions throughout the
country. The pro-market policies pursued by the government have
been based on the rapid privatisation of public assets, the commercialisation
of all public services, and suppression of real wages. The new
economic downturn will have even further social implications.
There are other surveys, which clearly demonstrate the fiasco
of Turkish capitalism in the field of providing jobs. For instance,
according to a recent survey conducted by the Confederation of
the Unions of Employers (TISK), Turkey rated second in a table
for unemployment growth during the past 10 years. According to
official figures for the year 2006, Turkey ranked sixth from a
total of 39 countries in terms of unemployment growth.
At the same time, employers will take advantage of higher rates
of unemployment to demand more flexible labour conditions
in both public and private sectors. This means the further erosion
of wages and working conditions and forcing more workers to seek
informal employment. Recently, the Labour Minister confessed that
the share of informal or precarious jobs in Turkey is almost half
of the total employment.
See Also:
Turkey: Amnesty International documents
attacks on democratic rights
[8 February 2008]
Top of page
The WSWS invites your comments.
Copyright 1998-2008
World Socialist Web Site
All rights reserved |