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German SPD opens the door for rail privatisation
By Hendrik Paul
19 April 2008
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The Social Democratic Party executive has paved the way for
the sell-off of the German railway system on the stock market.
German Rail (Deutsche Bahn - DB) is the largest remaining state-owned
enterprise in Germany.
The measure accepted by the SPD on Sunday, April 13 will have
drastic repercussions for both rail employees and the population
as a whole. Once the stock exchange is allowed to determine the
fate of the railways, the inevitable result will be job cuts,
declining services and increasing safety risks.
The SPD executive agreed on a compromise deal which
means that 24.9 percent of rail transport i.e. goods and
general rail travel will be hived off to private investors.
The issue of privatisation has been a source of conflict in the
SPD under conditions where an overwhelming majority of the German
public are opposed to such a move. According to a current Emnid
poll, 70 percent of the population reject any privatisation of
the railways, and among SPD supporters this figure rises to 73
percent.
A deal was reached in the SPD after the chairman of the party,
Kurt Beck, dropped his own proposal and instead agreed to the
watered-down version of the holding company model
put forward by the German Transport Minister, Wolfgang Tiefensee
(SPD). Becks compromise was in fact a capitulation
to the right wing in his party.
Becks shift was hailed not only by his critics inside
the SPD, but also by the grand coalition government (SPD, Christian
Democratic Union, Christian Social Union), and the free market
FDP. Becks nod to the right wing in his own party was also
seen as a measure to shore up his shaky grip on the SPD leadership
and avoid a crisis which could have rocked the ruling coalition.
Just last autumn a SPD Party Congress had declared: Private
investors should not exert any influence on managerial policy
(of the railways). The most suitable form in this respect is the
non-voting preferential stock option [... ] We reject any other
form of participation by private investors.
Now with its latest decision to allow investors to determine
rail policy, the SPD has snubbed not only its membership, but
the population as a whole.
The widespread rejection of privatisation by the population
is not only bound up with justified distrust of the policies of
the ruling grand coalition, but also with the consequences of
the reform of the railways carried out in 1994.
Since that year, as part of its preparation for privatisation,
DB has shed more than half of its original workforce (500,000
in 1994) and massively increased fare prices. At the same time
a quarter of the rail track (10,000 kilometres) has been closed,
affecting in particular many remote rural areas which now lack
any adequate rail connection. Safety levels were visibly affected,
and the period since 1994 has seen such disastrous train accidents
as those at Eschede and Bruehl, in which 110 passengers died.
Popular opposition to privatisation found a distorted reflection
in the SPD and led to months of conflict, threatening to tear
the party apart. The issue at stake in the SPD, however, was never
principled rejection of privatisation, but instead how one could
give the impression of retaining some sort of centralised control
of the largest transport system in Europe. Or to put it more simply:
the conflict centred on how to hoodwink the public while bowing
down to market forces.
The subsequent compromise, which Beck described
as a rationally clean and economically responsible model,
is from the point of view of the German public and rail workers
irresponsible and irrational.
In the first place, the agreed Tiefensee plan detaches the
rail network from transport services, with the rail network (rail
track, stations, electricity) to remain in public possession and
be financed by the public purse. Following the disastrous experience
of rail privatisation in Great Britain, where the breaking up
of the railways resulted in a host of catastrophic accidents,
such a decision is criminal. The British government had gone further
and originally also privatised rail track but is now planning
partial re-nationalisation in light of the consequences.
The SPDs decision means that German railways are making
the first step towards repeating the British experience - with
contrary and competing interests in charge of rail infrastructure
and rail transport.
The move will also undoubtedly accelerate the process of shrinking
rail services. Less profitable lines will be closed down, in favour
of links between the main cities serviced by high-speed (and expensive)
trains. According to the Berlin-based consultancy firm KCW, long-distance
rail transport in the east of Germany is in future to be limited
to the cities of Berlin, Leipzig and Jena. All other major cities,
including a number of state capitals in the east of the country,
will be seriously isolated from or even denied rail connections.
The apparently small proportion of 24.9 percent of the transport
system made available to private investors is aimed at giving
the impression that the system will remain under the majority
control of the government. The original plan put forward by the
Transport Minister envisaged selling off 49.9 percent of rail
transport. However, the measure opens the door for further privatisation,
and it is unlikely that the 49.9 percent option was regarded in
the first place as realistic, given the current conditions in
the stock market.
In the future the government only has to refer to chronic budget
problems in order to justify cutting back on rail subsidies, demand
an injection of funds and open the way for a second or third round
of privatisation.
At the same time, it is fallacious to think that control over
a partly privatised enterprise can be secured by sufficient public
seats on the board. The fate of a company is not decided in the
executive committee but rather directly on the stock exchange.
DB has been subject to these pressures since its reform of 14
years ago - although it remained in public hands during this time.
Already in 2000 Deutsche Bahn chairman Hartmut Mehdorn declared
that the main task was to improve the efficiency of the
enterprise every year by five percent as is the case everywhere
in industry.
The sum raised will only represent a fraction of the real value
of the enterprise, which according to the official statistics
of the Transport Ministry, is worth 55.4 billion in total,
i.e., 14 billion euro for a 25 percent share. According
to press reports the highest sum on offer for such a flotation
would be around 5 billion euro meaning that two-thirds
of the value of an asset subsidised by the taxpayer over decades
will have vanished into thin air.
Secondly, only a third of the proceeds from the stock sale
will be re-invested in the railways, although the need for more
finance has always been the main argument used to justify privatisation.
The remainder of the proceeds will either be absorbed in the federal
budget or used by Deutsche Bahn to stock up its own capital reserves.
No doubt part of this sum will also be used to hand out exorbitant
salary increases for DB board members.
The German rail unions are primarily concerned about their
own future role in a privatised railway system. The two unions
with the closest links to DB management Transnet and the
GDBA - have supported for some time the plan put forward by Transport
Minister Tiefensee. They merely insist that the interests of the
trade union bureaucracy are clearly secured in contracts
or the like.
The chairman of the GDBA, Klaus Dieter Hommel, has even emerged
as a fierce advocate of privatisation. A joint press statement
by both trade unions at the start of the month quotes Hommel as
follows: The worst solution from our point of view would
be just remaining in the current situation. That would harm German
Railways in the face of competition and not help railways as a
whole. He called for a brisk political decision.
The GDL train drivers union rejects privatisation and
has declared its opposition to anticipated cuts to job and rail
lines. At the same time, however, the GDL supports the subordination
of DB to international competition which, it maintains, can be
done without relying on private investors. The unions web
site declares: The GDL defends the standpoint that the railways
can develop their position in the face of national and international
competition without a stock market floatation. This is quite possible
on the basis of the proven performance of railway workers and
the exhaustion of its own reserves.
By the performance of railway workers, the GDL
understands its own readiness to subordinate the interests of
rail employees to the competitive status of the enterprise. Following
a year-long dispute with DB management in which the GDL restricted
its campaign to wages and refused to raise the issue of rail privatisation,
and on the basis of the concessions made by the union bureaucracy
to end its dispute, the GDL bureaucracy has gone a long way to
demonstrate its readiness to discipline its members in order to
better serve management.
See Also:
A political balance sheet of the German
train drivers strike
[10 April 2008]
Privatisation, deregulation,
and the London rail disaster
[14 October 1999]
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