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Parliamentary elections in Greece
Conservatives gain at expense of PASOK
By Markus Salzmann
20 September 2007
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The ruling conservative New Democracy (ND), led by Prime Minister
Kostas Karamanlis, was re-elected with a slight majority in the
Greek parliamentary elections held on Sunday. The party won 41.8
percent of the vote, 4 percent less than in 2004.
According to a recently introduced law, the party with the
biggest share of the vote automatically receives an additional
40 mandates, which means that ND can maintain its parliamentary
majority with 152 of 300 seats, despite a clear shift to the left
on the part of the electorate.
The Panhellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK), headed by its leading
candidate Georgiou Papandreou, received 38.1 percent in the partys
worst result since 1977. It lost more than 2 percent compared
to the last election and enters the new parliament with just 102
deputies.
The Communist Party (GCP) was able to increase its vote, which
rose from 5.9 to 8.1 percent of the vote (22 seats). The Radical
Left (SYRIZA) also increased its total from 3.3 to 5 percent (14
seats). For the first time, the extreme right-wing nationalist-religious
LAOS (Popular Orthodox Rally) won enough votes3.8 percent
(10 seats)to enter parliament.
Following predictions of a close race between Karamanlis and
Papandreou, and under conditions in which the Karamanlis government
came under substantial pressure in recent weeks, the victory of
the conservative ND came as a surprise for many commentators.
At the beginning of August, Karamanlis decided to move up the
election, which originally had been planned for next year. He
justified this move with the claim that he sought a powerful
popular mandate to push through his planned political programme.
At that time, his ND enjoyed a 10 percent lead over PASOK, according
to opinion polls. The conservatives were fearful, however, that
a series of political scandals would evaporate this lead by next
year and preferred to call imminent elections.
The situation then changed dramatically following the catastrophic
forest fires of last month. The fires, which raged across the
mainland close to the capital Athens, on the peninsula Peloponnes
and the island Euboea, costing nearly 70 lives, cast a critical
light on the state of the countrys political elite, and
above all the government.
The policies of cuts pursued in recent years, combined with
corruption and nepotism, were a major factor contributing to the
tragic consequences of the forest fires, which scorched tens of
thousands of hectares of land and forest and robbed thousands
of farmers of their livelihood.
The fires not only revealed the deplorable state of the countrys
fire brigades, which are hopelessly understaffed and insufficiently
equipped, but also the complicity of official political circles
with criminal land speculators who were responsible for starting
most of the fires. These speculators set fire to the forests in
order to then illegally construct properties on the scorched earth,
and then later receive the stamp of approval from local authorities.
The method has been known for some time and has long been tolerated
by the government in Athens.
While Karamanlis sought to deny any responsibility, accusing
terrorists of carrying out the arson attacks, mass
protests developed to protest the failure of the government to
deal with the crisis. In Athens, Thessaloniki and other cities,
ten of thousands rallied and gave vent to their anger.
To date, not a single politician or functionary has been called
to account, and there have been no real efforts to investigate
and determine responsibility for the fire catastrophe.
Within the space of two weeks, poll ratings for Karamanlis
fell by more than 10 percent. The fire disaster was not the only
factor leading to the plummet in support for ND. Since being elected
in 2004, ND has carried out cuts in social security benefits,
wages and living standards unparalleled in the recent history
of the country.
While Greece has registered one of the highest rates of economic
growth in the European Union with a constantly declining budget
deficit, the population has been confronted with healthcare and
pension cuts, as well as increased taxes. At the same time, Karamanliss
unyielding austerity course has been repeatedly praised by the
EU bureaucracy in Brussels. In the event of re-election, Karamanlis
announced that he would stand firm on this course and seek further
reforms in tax, education and pension policies.
Immediately after his election victory, Karamanlis
declared, You have spoken out loud and clear
and chosen the course, which will be implemented in the country
during the next years. In view of his plans, his words can
only be regarded as a threat. The European Union and the International
Monetary Fund are demanding a radical reform of the Greek pension
system, which will inevitably mean more privatisations and further
cuts.
There were already major protests last year by students protesting
against the anti-social policies of the government and the introduction
of study fees. But such demonstrations, together with further
protests against its pension policy, were simply brushed aside
by the government.
Predictably, the Greek and European press assessed the election
result as confirmation of the governments free market policies.
The Neue Zürcher Zeitung wrote, The undisputed
economic successes of the Karamanlis government...were honoured
at the ballot box. According to Spiegel Online, in
the long run, the economic and financial successes of the
conservative government were decisive for the re-election of Karamanlis.
The decline of PASOK
In fact, the victory of the conservatives is largely a result
of the political bankruptcy of the social democrats. Large sections
of the population no longer regard PASOK as a lesser evil
or any sort of alternative to the right wing.
PASOK had dominated Greek politics since the end of the military
dictatorship in 1974. From 1981 to 1989, and between 1993 and
2004, it formed the government and exerted a powerful influence
over the countrys trade unions. In the 1980s, PASOK defended
a nationalist economic and political policy, which predominantly
took the form of anti-American and anti-European rhetoric, while
at the same time implementing a number of social reforms. In the
1990s, however, in line with other European social democratic
parties, it increasingly adopted a neo-liberal economic model
and pushed through drastic welfare cuts at the dictate of the
European Union.
PASOK increasingly lost support because of its neo-liberal
policies and increasingly aggressive foreign policy, such as its
support for the NATO war against Yugoslavia. In 2000, it was only
able to secure a narrow victory against ND in national elections.
Georgiou Papandreou took over as head of the socialists shortly
before the 2004 elections, at a time when the party was already
largely discredited and unable to win support for its populist-led
election campaign and promises of social reform. Karamanlis and
his ND were able to take power.
In the recent election campaign, Papandreou tried to pose as
a left alternative to Karamanlis. On the question of pensions,
for example, he announced plans reforms. Criticising Karamanlis
as the forest fires raged, he promised to combat corruption and
the land speculators and pledged more funding for the fire brigades
and forestry.
But his efforts were without success. The Greek population
had gone through its own bitter experiences with PASOK. During
its 20-year period in power, a network of corruption and nepotism
permeated the country. The methods of the criminal land speculators
had always been tolerated under PASOK governments, and cuts in
the sphere of public policy had begun long before Karamanlis came
to power.
Now chairman Papandreou is under fire following the defeat
of PASOK. Just hours after the publication of the election result,
elements in the party demanded the resignation of Papandreou,
whose father and grandfather had already filled the post of prime
minister and had run the party like a family business. Under their
leadership, they had been able to hold together the different
wings of the party.
Some commentators expect violent internal faction fighting
over the coming weeks and months. The former culture minister
Evangelos Veniselos and the former European Union commissar Anna
Diamantopoulou have already been suggested as possible successors
to Papandreou.
The role of the GCP and SYRIZA
The GCP and SYRIZA were also able to benefit from the defeat
of PASOK.
The Stalinists increased their electoral support by 2 percent
compared to 2004. The GCP is the oldest party in Greece and had
a certain degree of popular support in the years following the
overthrow of the military dictatorship. The party maintained a
strong orientation to Moscow until the end of the 1980s, when
the collapse of the Soviet Union precipitated the end of the GCP.
Following a series of splits, a hard core of former Stalinists
remain who are also split amongst themselves. Politically, the
GCP functions more than ever merely as a political auxiliary to
PASOK.
The leftist SYRIZA is a coalition of very diverse radical groups,
including Greens, pacifists, feminists, radical leftists and so-called
socialists. Just as the party is thoroughly heterogeneous in its
composition, so it is totally diffuse and flexible with regard
to its programme. In the election campaign, it stressed ecology
as the lowest common denominator, following violent disputes in
its ranks prior to the election.
The party leadership had deliberately refrained from raising
socialist demands. Instead, the party banked on a victory for
PASOK, which would have then opened up the possibility of a coalition
with SYRIZA.
The entry of LAOS into parliament must be taken as a serious
warning. For the first time since the end of the military dictatorship,
an extreme right wing has representation in the Greek parliament.
LAOS combines ultra-nationalism with religious orthodox positions.
It demands an increased role by the Greek Orthodox Church in political
life and regularly organises campaigns against foreign workers,
in particular Albanians. In the election campaign, it agitated
against any admission of Turkey into the European Union. The party
emerged as a split-off from ND in 2000 has been able to profit
from the anti-social policies of both ND and PASOK and divert
growing discontent by some social layers into reactionary nationalist
channels.
See Also:
Over 60 die as forest fires
sweep Greece
[28 August 2007]
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