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Afghanistan: reports of record year for opium yield
By Harvey Thompson
8 October 2007
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The United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) recently
published a report revealing the latest findings on opium production
in Afghanistan.
The UN has given its blessing to the occupation of Afghanistan
and UNODCs Afghanistan Opium Survey (August) 2007 paints
only the most benign picture of the actions and plans of the occupation
forces. Despite this, the reports findings paint an appalling
picture of the impact of the US-led invasion on the Afghan people.
In its opening paragraphs the report states: In 2007,
Afghanistan cultivated 193,000 hectares of opium poppies, an increase
of 17 percent over last year. The amount of Afghan land used for
opium is now larger than the corresponding total for coca cultivation
in Latin America (Colombia, Peru and Bolivia combined).
Favourable weather conditions produced opium yields (42.5
kg per hectare) higher than last year (37.0 kg/ha). As a result,
in 2007 Afghanistan produced an extraordinary 8,200 tons of opium
(34 percent more than in 2006), becoming practically the exclusive
supplier of the worlds deadliest drug (93 percent of the
global opiates market).
Leaving aside 19th century China, that had a population
at that time 15 times larger than todays Afghanistan, no
other country in the world has ever produced narcotics on such
a deadly scale.
Currently, twice the amount of opium is produced in Afghanistan
compared with just two years ago. The report notes regional disparities
in opium poppy cultivation; with sharp increases occurring in
the south, west and east of the country and limited success in
opiate crop eradication in the north. In southern Afghanistan,
opium cultivation has exploded to unprecedented levels.
In 2007 around 70 percent of the countrys poppies were grown
in just five provinces along the border with Pakistan.
The bread-basket of the Afghan opium yield is the
province of Helmand, where poppy cultivation has almost tripled
since 2002. It is also the region with the strongest British military
presence. This single province, with 2.5 million inhabitants and
over 5,000 British troops, now accounts for 50 percent of the
entire Afghan opium crop. The 4,399 metric tons of opium produced
in Helmand alone this year was higher than Afghanistans
total production in 2005.
In the words of the report, Helmand has now become the
worlds biggest source of illicit drugs, surpassing the output
of entire countries like Colombia (coca), Morocco (cannabis),
and Myanmar (opium)which have populations up to twenty times
larger.
However, production is exploding elsewhere. In Afghanistans
western provinces poppy cultivation increased by 44 percent, resulting
in a 57 percent increase in opium production. Significant increases
in cultivation in the eastern regions (particularly in Nangarhar
province) resulted in an opium production increase of 257 percent
over 2006. Even in the north, where poppy cultivation decreased,
the opium yield was actually higher.
There are a number of instances where the UN report provides
a fig-leaf for the occupation of Afghanistan. It attempts to deny
the link between poverty and the growth of opium cultivation across
the country by counter-posing different regions to each other
to demonstrate that some which are extremely poor have not seen
a proliferation of opium production. It also attempts to lay the
sole responsibility of the burgeoning drugs industry on the Taliban
insurgency, while largely ignoring the influential participants
who have been placed in positions of power by the occupation.
All of this leads up to an appeal for further military action
on the part of the occupation forces, with the report calling
for the opium economy to be bankrupted by blocking the two-way
flow of (i) imported chemicals, and (ii) exported drugs.
It continues: In both instances several thousand tons
of materials are being moved across the southern border and nobody
seems to take notice.
Since drug trafficking and insurgency live off of each
other, the foreign military forces operating in Afghanistan have
a vested interest in supporting counter-narcotics operations:
destroying heroin labs, closing opium markets, seizing opium convoys
and bringing traffickers to justice.
This will generate a double benefit. First, the destruction
of the drug trade will win popular support (only 1 out of 10 Afghan
farming families cultivate opium, earning a disproportionately
large share of the national income). Second, lower opium demand
by traders will reduce its price and make alternative economic
activity more attractive.
Here the report not only seriously understates the social impact
of opium production across Afghanistan, but spreads illusions
in an occupation that has created the conditions in which ruthless
warlords rule with impunity, while guns and militia have flooded
the country and opium production has exploded.
Even in a routine military sense, the UN reports prescriptions
are next to meaningless. Most NATO countries involved in Afghanistan,
including the UK, have more or less drawn the conclusion that
they should stay clear of overt counter-narcotics operations.
Most NATO troops have found to their cost that poppy eradication
programmes, backed by military force, have simply turned more
local populations against the occupation and swelled the ranks
of the insurgency.
Based on opium production and reported opium prices, the farm-gate
value of the opium harvest amounted to US$1 billion in 2007.
Higher production and only slightly lower average prices resulted
in a 32 percent increase of the overall farm-gate value of opium
production over 2006 (760 million). The farm-gate value of opium
as a proportion of Afghanistans GDP in 2007 (US$ 7.5 billion)
increased from 11 percent in 2006 to 13 percent this year.
The average Afghan poppy farmer obviously receives the tiniest
fraction of these huge proceeds, but the following statistic,
quoted in the report, demonstrates the trades importance
in a shattered rural economyas well as contradicting the
reports assertion that the link between poverty and the
drugs industry is tenuous. Indicative gross income from opium
per hectare is US$5,200, while gross income from wheat, per hectare
is US$546. As part of the UNODC report, 2,996 farmers in 1,500
villages across Afghanistan were surveyed for their reasons for
growing or not growing the opium crop. The survey found that in
2007, the main reasons given by farmers for opium poppy cultivation
were poverty alleviation and high sale
price of opium (29 and 25 percent respectively). The overwhelming
majority (98 percent) of Afghan farmers surveyed reported that
they would be ready to stop opium poppy cultivation given access
to an alternative livelihood.
Farmers who never cultivated opium poppy cited religion
as the main reason (38 percent), followed by the fact that it
was an illegal crop (28 percent) and respect
for a shura/elders decision (18 percent). Only 0.4 percent
of the farmers did not cultivate opium poppy due to fear
of eradication. Significantly, respect for the government
ban figured lowest of all at 0.2 percent.
The report largely says little about high level corruption
and officially sanctioned drugs trafficking. But what little it
does say, shorn of its hypocritical pronouncements, is indictment
enough:
Drug metastases have spread throughout Afghanistan, providing
capital for investments, foreign exchange for expensive imports,
revenue to underpaid officials as well as funding for weddings,
burials and pilgrimages.
Corruption has facilitated the general profiteering.
The governments benign tolerance of corruption is undermining
the future: no country has ever built prosperity on crime. Similarly,
in the provinces bordering with Pakistan, tacit acceptance of
opium trafficking by foreign military forces as a way to extract
intelligence information and occasional military support in operations
against the Taliban and Al-Qaida undermines stabilization efforts.
The Afghan judicial system is weak and vulnerable to
corruption. Around the country more resources are needed to enhance
integrity and increase the likelihood of retribution against crime.
The new maximum-security prison at Poli-y-Charkee (near Kabul)
still awaits major drug dealersrather than drivers and couriers.
According to the report, 2007 also saw the number of heroin
laboratories in Afghanistan increase. In the south and eastern
parts of Afghanistan, opiate and precursor trafficking is mainly
controlled by tribes whereas in the northern provinces they are
controlled by local commandersmost of whom have the official
approval of the US-backed Karzai government.
The vast bulk of the opium produced in Afghanistan is converted
to heroin within the country. However, as the report points out,
the precursors needed for this conversion are not available in
Afghanistan, which means that they are imported via neighbouring
countries. The report states there are probably hundreds
of unofficial border crossing points between Afghanistan and Tajikistan,
Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Iran and Pakistan. In short, Afghanistan
exports opiates and imports precursors from neighbouring countries.
In turning to the global ramifications of the expanding Afghan
opium economy, the report says the following: As UNODC has
often pointed out, a major responsibility rests with the governments
of opiates consuming countries in the European Union, the CIS
nations and China. This concern remains urgent. Once again, the
yearly Afghan opium harvest may kill, directly and not, over 100
thousand people. However, since the opium supply from Afghanistan
currently exceeds global demand by an enormous margin (over 3,000
tons), the highest priority is to deal with the problem at the
sourcenamely in Afghanistan.
This last point, on the global significance of the increasing
Afghan opium yield, was made more forcefully in another recent
UNODC report; World Drug Report 2007, which presents itself
as the most comprehensive statistical view of todays
illicit drug situation.
In recent years, the world heroin market has been divided
into three regional submarkets. Afghan opiates have supplied the
markets of neighbouring countries, Europe, the Near and Middle
East, and Africa. Opiates produced in South-East Asia have supplied
the markets of China and other South-East Asian countries, as
well as Oceania. Opiates produced in Latin America supplied the
North American market.
However, it appears that cross-regional trafficking is
gaining in importance. For example, there are indications that
a small but increasing proportion of opiates from Afghanistan
are being trafficked to North America, either via eastern and
western Africa, or via Europe...
Countries experiencing an increase in heroin usage include
those surrounding Afghanistan (Pakistan, Iran and Central Asia),
as well as Russia, India and parts of Africa. Many of these areas
have high levels of poverty and HIV, leaving them vulnerable to
the worst effects of this drug.
See Also:
Report shows Afghanistan mired
in corruption
[20 September 2007]
Britain acquires thermobaric
weapons for Afghanistan
[29 August 2007]
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