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Analysis : Middle
East : Iraq
Wall Street drools over prospect of capturing Iraq oil wealth
By Patrick Martin
6 March 2007
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The Iraqi cabinets adoption last week of a law creating
the legal framework for turning over the countrys oil wealth
to American corporations has touched off a chorus of salutes from
the Bush administration, congressional Democrats and the corporate-controlled
American media.
Perhaps the crassest expression of money-grubbing glee came
in the Wall Street Journal, which published an article
March 4 celebrating the unlocking of untold riches, including
dozens of untouched oil fields loaded with proven reserves
and scores of exploration blocks that may prove a magnet to international
oil companies.
The draft law lists 51 oil fields, 27 in production and the
balance with proven reserves, as well as 65 exploration blocks.
The fallow fields and exploration blocks are located in every
region of the country, while the working fields are concentrated
in the northern region around Kirkuk and in the southern region
near the border with Kuwait. Citing a cabinet document, the Journal
reported that Iraqi officials must first agree to the framework
of contracts to be used when negotiating with foreign oil companies
by March 15 if the countrys draft hydrocarbons law is to
be submitted to parliament for its approval.
The draft law calls for reviewing and renegotiating contracts
with Russian, French and Chinese oil producers, signed under Saddam
Hussein. These countries, which initially opposed the US invasion,
are expected to be cut out of any lucrative oil deals in favor
of American and British companies.
The government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki endorsed the
draft law February 26, after months of bitter conflicts among
the representatives of rival bourgeois factions within IraqKurdish,
Sunni and Shiiteover the terms of the deal. Approval is
likely in the Iraqi parliament, although not certain, as news
of the agreement is sure to provoke widespread popular outrage
over the sell-off of the countrys most valuable resource.
The cabinet conflict revolved around two related issues: Kurdish
determination to hold onto Kirkuk, a city of mixed Arab, Kurdish
and Turkomen population that is the center of the northern branch
of Iraqs oil industry; and the Sunni demand for revenue-sharing
at the national rather than regional level, since the proven oil
reserves are largely in the Shiite and Kurdish populated areas,
with relatively little in the central and western provinces where
most Sunnis live.
Neither issue was completely settled, but the formula agreed
upon under heavy pressure from outgoing US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad,
who reportedly dictated the final terms, provides rather more
concessions to the Sunnis, largely at the expense of the Kurds.
In public, the Bush administration and congressional leaders
of both parties have cited the working out of inter-ethnic compromises
as the main purpose of the oil legislation. In reality, however,
the Bush administration sought an agreement on whatever terms
it could impose, so that the Iraqi oil industry could be placed
on legal foundations suitable for opening it up to foreign (and
largely American) capital.
The most important aspect of the bill is that it revives a
semi-colonial form of oil contract called a production-sharing
agreement, which would give foreign companies first claim
on any oil they help Iraqs nationalized industry extract
from the countrys enormous reserves, estimated at 115 billion
barrels.
Production-sharing agreements were devised by the multinational
(mainly US, British, French and Dutch) oil companies in response
to the efforts of the bourgeoisie in the OPEC nationsIran,
the Gulf sheikdoms, Libya and Venezuelato establish national
oil companies and negotiate more favorable terms.
Under a PSA, the multinationals could continue operating the
oil industries in these countries while the oil resources were
nominally taken under national ownership. The oil companies were
guaranteed first right to oil revenues. This structure became
largely discredited as providing only the semblance of national
control over oil resources, and only 12 percent of worldwide production
is currently conducted under PSAswith none at all in the
Middle East.
The new Iraqi law would allow regional authorities to enter
into PSAs in which oil companies would be guaranteed up to 70
percent of the revenues, as well as an unrestricted right to take
their profits out of Iraq, rather than reinvesting them in the
industry.
According to the oil minister, Hussain al-Shahristani, as many
as 65 of Iraqs 80 known oilfields would be put up for bid
to foreign oil producers. Any region that can produce at least
150,000 barrels of oil a day can create its own operating companywith
the result that dozens of relatively small companies could be
formed, easy prey for the giant multinational corporations to
manipulate, bribe or buy outright.
The law would reestablish the state-run Iraq National Oil Company,
shut down by Saddam Hussein in 1987 in favor of an oil ministry.
This legal change is a step towards actual sale of the entire
industry, which could take the form of selling an interest in
the new INOC to one or several big foreign producers, or entering
into joint ventures.
One of the most glaring failures of the Bush administrations
occupation of Iraqfrom the standpoint of the American ruling
elitehas been its inability to revive the oil industry.
Under the impact of US and UN sanctions, Iraqi oil production
had already fallen from 3.7 million barrels a day at its peak
to 2.6 million barrels a day just before the US invasion. This
figure has declined further to barely 2 million barrels a day,
much of which is stolen and traded on the black market rather
than exported.
The significance of the oil law was widely commented on in
the American ruling elite. White House spokesman Tony Snow called
it the key linchpin in Iraqs rebuilding, and
congressional Democrats and Republicans praised the agreement
as a vital step forward.
Ambassador Khalilzad, in an op-ed column published March 3
in the Washington Post, declared the agreement a
significant achievement for Iraqis national reconciliation.
It demonstrates that the leaders of Iraqs principal communities
can pull together to peacefully resolve difficult issues of national
importance.
Actually, the agreement signifies that no section of the Iraqi
bourgeoisieSunni, Shiite or Kurdishis capable of adopting
an independent stand towards American imperialism. All are seeking
to maneuver with Washington, and to a lesser extent the European
imperialist powers, to secure their own share in the division
of the spoils. Nothing will come of the oil deal for the Iraqi
people, whose society continues its plunge into unchecked sectarian
and ethnic strife.
Khalilzad declares that under the terms of the bill, Iraq
would adopt the best international practices for the development
and management of its mineral wealth. The meaning of these
best international practices, of course, is that Iraqs
mineral wealth will be turned over to the multinational corporations.
The maintenance of state ownership is purely nominal: as in other
PSAs, the oil will be legally the property of the people of Iraq,
but the vast bulk of the revenues and profits will go to ExxonMobil,
ChevronTexaco, Shell and BP.
Journalist and author Dilip Hiro, writing in the Guardian
January 9, noted the stage-managed character of the Iraqi
decision to hand over control of the countrys oil resources
to US oil companies. He wrote, The early draft of the proposed
law, prepared with the assistance of BearingPoint, an American
consultancy company hired by the Bush administration, was sent
to the Bush White House and major western petroleum corporations
in July, and then to the International Monetary Fund two months
later, while most Iraqi legislators remained uninformed.
The Los Angeles Times noted, in reporting the Iraqi
cabinet action, The United States has long wanted to capitalize
on Iraqs oil, especially as a means of paying for the countrys
reconstruction. Oils importance was reiterated in the Iraq
Study Group report released in December. The agreement would open
the door to international investment in Iraqs oil industrya
bonanza for foreign companies . . .
The New York Times editorialized cautiously on the draft
agreement, focusing on the purported goal of equitably sharing
the nations oil revenues among all Iraqis, while remaining
silent on the crass plundering of Iraqs resources that the
new law would rubber-stamp. The Times left no doubt about
its approval for that goal, declaring, An oil law should
be one of the benchmarks Washington insists on as a condition
of continued support for the Maliki government. Cabinet
approval was a step forward, the Times said, but
it isnt nearly enough.
More than a month ago, the Washington Post reported
on a meeting of 80 oil company executives and consultants in London
on exploration prospects in the Kurdish region of Iraq, noting,
Outside Saudi Arabia, no country has proven oil reserves
as big as Iraqs. And the oil there is high quality, easy
and cheap to produce, and bottled up in reservoirs that many major
oil companies were familiar with three decades ago before wars
and sanctions drove them out.
One oil analyst, Fadel Gheit of Oppenheimer & Co., told
the Post, Exxon Mobil has more seismic data on Iraq
than on Houston real estate. If Exxon had security on the ground,
the following day it would have crews there. And money would be
no object. Gheit estimated that a restored Iraqi oil industry
could triple current production to 6 million barrels a day, worth
$131 billion a year at current prices.
While the US media and the politicians of both the Democratic
and Republican parties publicly dismiss the claim that Bush invaded
Iraq to seize its oil wealth, this political reality is increasingly
understood by the American people. According to a UPI/Zogby International
poll in January, 73.4 percent thought that Iraqs oil resources
were a major factor or a contributing factor in Bushs
decision to invade, while only 23.7 percent believed that oil
was not a factor in the war.
The enactment of an Iraqi oil law will outrage millions of
working people, in the United States and internationally, who
oppose sacrificing the lives of thousands of Americansand
hundreds of thousands of Iraqisto give American companies
control of Iraqs vast oil resources.
See Also:
US soldiers detain prominent Iraqi ally:
a warning to governing parties to toe the line
[1 March 2007]
US troops terrorize Baghdad
in Operation Law and Order
[20 February 2007]
The implications in Iraq of
Bushs military surge
[15 February 2007]
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