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Philippines
Philippine president imposes state of emergency after alleged
coup attempt
By Peter Symonds
27 February 2006
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In a sign of considerable political crisis, Philippine President
Gloria Macapagal Arroyo last Friday declared a state of emergency
and began a crackdown on political opponents in response to what
she alleged was a foiled military coup.
In a taped speech broadcast on national television, Arroyo
declared that there had been a conspiracy between right-wing military
adventurers and Communists that was a
clear threat to the nation. She warned those who threatened
the government that the whole weight of the law will fall
on your treason.
Few details of the coup attempt have been made public. Some
14 junior military officers were detained and Brigadier General
Danilo Lim, head of the elite Scout Rangers, and Colonel Ariel
Querubin, commander of the First Marine Brigade, were relieved
of their commands. In a show of strength, the army placed shipping
containers, barbed wire and armed vehicles on the approaches to
the presidential palace.
It appears that the rebel officers and their troops planned
to take part in anti-Arroyo rallies on Friday and Saturday coinciding
with the anniversary of the so-called Peoples Power movement that
toppled the Marcos dictatorship in 1986. Rumours of such a military
protest had been circulating in the capital of Manila for days.
In any event, the rebellion had already been crushed before
the state of emergency was declared. Whatever the exact extent
of the threat to her administration, the president has clearly
exploited the coup to intimidate and in some cases
arrest her opponents. Her decree accused the opposition not so
much of preparing to overthrow the administration but of obstructing
governance hindering the growth of the economy:
and sabotaging the peoples confidence in government.
Despite a complete ban on all protests and rallies, around
5,000 protesters led by former President Corazon Aquino marched
through the Makita business district in central Manila on Friday
afternoon. Police broke up the protesters using batons and water
cannon and arrested several dozen people.
The round-up continued over the weekend. In the early hours
of Saturday morning, police raided the offices of the English-language
Daily Tribune and prevented some copies of the newspaper
from being distributed. The newspaper, which has been bitterly
critical of Arroyo, declared: The stench of martial law
has pervaded the entire country.
Also on Saturday, police arrested leftist Bayan Muna Congressman
Crispin Beltran and retired general Ramon Montano, claiming they
were part of a conspiracy to commit rebellion. However,
the charge against Beltran dated back to 1985that is, during
the Marcos dictatorship. ABS-CBN television stated that police
had a list of 100 people to be arrested.
On Sunday, dozens of protesters gathered outside a Marine base
in central Manila amid claims that 100 marines were protesting
against the removal of their commander Major General Renato Miranda
from his post. Riot police were called in to disperse the demonstratorsseveral
nuns as well as members of various left-wing groups.
The events of the last three days reveal that the sharp divisions
in ruling circles that led to concerted efforts last year to impeach
President Arroyo have not ended. Arroyo was embroiled for months
in allegations that she tampered with the 2004 presidential election
result and charges that her husband and son were involved in taking
bribes from illegal gambling operators.
A motley collection of opponents ranging from right-wing supporters
of ousted President Joseph Estrada to various left-wing and Stalinist
parties were seeking to capitalise on mounting popular hostility
to Arroyos program of market reforms and her anti-democratic
methods. Anti-Arroyo protests, however, remained comparatively
small. Despite some defections, Arroyo retained her majority in
Congress and was able to formally squash impeachment proceedings
in September.
The lack of substantial protests did not signal positive support
for Arroyo. Polling showed that more than 80 percent of the population
supported her impeachment. Moreover, there was widespread opposition
to rising prices, high levels of unemployment and Arroyos
plans to increase VAT taxes. If large numbers did not take part
in the political rallies, it was because the majority of the population
had no confidence in any section of the political establishmentArroyo
or her opponents.
The alienation is understandable. The last Peoples Power
campaign in January 2001 ousted Estrada, the elected president,
on trumped up charges of corruption, and installed Arroyo. Former
President Aquino, who now calls on Arroyo to make the supreme
sacrifice and step down, was in the forefront of the campaign
by sections of business, the Roman Catholic Church, the military
and state apparatus to replace Estrada.
As Arroyos popularity has waned, divisions in ruling
circles have again emerged amid continuing economic fragility
and uncertainty. Arroyo was only finally able to raise the VAT
tax from 10 percent to 12 percent on February 1 after court challenges
and protests. She is also seeking to press ahead with other economic
reforms to cut the substantial budget deficit and attract much
needed foreign investment.
Her decision to impose a state of emergency has provoked considerable
criticism from layers of the ruling elite who are concerned that
it is an overreaction that will lead to even greater political
instability. The peso and the stockmarket both dropped 1 percent
last Friday on the news.
Erin Prelypchan, an analyst at Pacific Strategies Assessment,
dismissed the alleged coup as more theatre than threat.
She said the supposed coup was just in the planning
stages, there was no set date, adding that the government
basically timed it to say no one is going to try anything today.
Business consultant Peter Wallace told the British-based Financial
Times that declaring a state of emergency was taking
it too far given that the government said it had quelled
the plot. It sends a signal that the government is not really
in control, he said. Investors will just go to Malaysia
or Vietnam, where these kinds of uncertainties dont exist.
However, the most significant comments came from key powerbroker
Fidel Ramos, former armed forces chief, who was instrumental in
installing Aquino as president in 1986 before subsequently taking
over the post himself. Last year, unlike Aquino, he continued
to back Arroyo and was influential in preventing her impeachment.
In a press conference on Saturday, Ramos was sharply critical
of Arroyos actions, particularly the arrest of opponents
and media controls. In fact, I was appalled when I heard
about it and I was dismayed. Its Marcosian, the arrests
and the presidential proclamation itself.
Ramos expressed concern at the economic consequences. We
are unduly panicking to the discredit of our credit ratings, the
peso fell 52 centavos yesterday. I hope it will not fall anymore
but as long as that state of emergency is there, this place will
be avoided by our foreign friends, he declared.
Ramos pointedly described his support for Arroyo as waninga
comment that must have triggered alarm bells in the Arroyo administration.
While the state of emergency is still in place, police appear
to have backed away from taking harsher measures against the political
opposition. The Daily Tribune was permitted to publish
yesterday without interference.
Whether the political crisis blows over or intensifies in coming
days is not possible to determine. Whatever the immediate outcome,
however, the underlying issues that have led to the sharp tensions
will not subside and can only lead to further political eruptions.
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