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Zealand
New Zealand opposition leader quits
By John Braddock
15 December 2006
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New Zealand opposition leader Don Brash quit politics late
last month in the wake of damaging speculation over his future,
and days before the release of a book that alleged links between
him and the Exclusive Brethren religious sect. Brash had led the
conservative National Party for three years, having been recruited
from governorship of the Reserve Bank, but failed to oust the
Labour government in last years election.
Before resigning, Brash took court action to block publication
of the book, The Hollow Men, by researcher Nicky Hager,
claiming that it contained copies of emails stolen from his computer.
Hager said all the published emails had been leaked to him by
senior National Party figures.
The incriminating emails proved Brash knew about and approved
a campaign mounted by the Exclusive Brethren during the 2005 elections.
Leaders of the extreme right-wing cultwhich forbids its
own members to vote or participate in political activitiesfunded
the nationwide distribution of unattributed pamphlets criticising
Labour and the Greens and urging a vote for National. Their expenditure,
amounting to $1.2 million, had initially been kept secret. The
issue blew up during the elections, but Brash denied any involvement
with the group, a stance he maintained even after the release
of Hagers book.
While the book provided the immediate impetus for Brashs
departure, it was not the root cause. The affair was part of a
series of scandals involving both the National Party and the Labour
government in recent months. Labour has been embroiled in controversies
over election spending and the activities of MP Philip Field.
He is currently under police investigation for attempting to influence
an immigration application on behalf of a Thai worker who was
tiling Fields private house in Samoa.
The extent and scope of the scandals, which have been accompanied
by acrimonious accusations and counter-accusations, suggest that
sections of the ruling elite are preparing for a major political
shift. Big business and media commentators have expressed frustration
with Labour and pushed for a speeding up of market reforms. The
ousting of Brash, increasingly regarded as an ineffectual opponent
of Prime Minister Helen Clark, was the first step. The likely
next target is the Labour government itself.
Brash has been sidelined in favour of 45-year-old John Key,
who has been in parliament for only one term. He came to media
prominence as opposition finance spokesman when he vigorously
pressed for tax cuts during the election campaign. Key not only
represents, but is part of, the most grasping layers of the countrys
new financial elite. He made a fortune in currency trading during
the 1980s and, with a personal fortune estimated at $50 million,
is the wealthiest man in parliament.
Keys elevation to party leader had been mooted in editorials
since the election. Even Brash acknowledged that it was only a
matter of time before Key took over. Key assumed the leadership
uncontested. The New Zealand Heralds deputy editor
Fran OSullivan, a former business commentator and persistent
critic of Labour, triumphantly declared that he had proved himself
young and ruthless enough to be a challenge to Clark.
Brash himself was installed as Nationals leader in an
inner party coup following its dismal showing in the 2002 election.
The party polled an historic low of just over 20 percent of the
vote, securing only 27 seats in the 120-seat parliament. According
to Hagers book, the push for Brash was organised and financed
by a section of the business and financial elite centred on the
Business Roundtable and ACT, a minor right-wing party.
At the time, Brash had little political experience. As Reserve
Bank governor, however, he was known for implementing rigid anti-inflationary
policies and links to international finance through the WTO. As
a result, he had the confidence of the free market lobbies, which
saw him as the man to continue the unfinished business
of implementing their anti-working class economic and social agenda.
In his keynote Orewa Speech attacking welfare beneficiaries
in January 2004, Brash claimed that oppressed sections of the
Maori population were receiving undue advantage through the welfare
system. He used the speech to launch a populist campaign demanding
for one law for all and deliberating stirring up racial
tensions. With the cynical exploitation of the race card and widespread
media promotion, he rescued National from near political oblivion.
Big business has prospered under the Labour government, with
the New Zealand sharemarket outperforming all the worlds
major markets. A recent report by the Boston Consulting Group
showed locally listed companies created a 17 percent return for
shareholders between 2001 and 2005. By comparison, US companies
had a shareholder return of 0.5 percent, Britain 1.2 percent and
Japan 6.3 percent, while Australia returned 13 percent.
But there has been growing dissatisfaction with Labours
failure to press ahead faster with market reformsin particular,
reduced corporate and high-income taxes, and further privatisation.
Brash put the demand for tax cuts at the centre of the National
campaign for last years elections. But Clark was able to
narrowly win the election by posturing as a defender of the public
sector, despite her governments inroads into essential services
such as education and health.
Back in office, the Labour-led coalition immediately accommodated
to business demands. Revenue Minister Peter Dunne, leader of the
minor NZ Future Party, initiated a review of corporate taxes,
with a view of bringing them down from 33 cents to 30 cents in
the dollar, in line with Australia. But the frustration with Labour
has continued to build in ruling circles, surfacing during the
debate over the May 2006 budget with the demand for the projected
surplus to be used to finance tax cuts.
Key has been brought forward for a definite political purposeto
put pressure on Labour to implement the corporate agenda, or to
replace it at the next election. He is attempting to position
himself as more of a centrist than Brash. A myth is
being built up that because Key was raised by a single mother
in public housing he is well placed to cut ground from under Labour.
He has moved to dump some of Brashs overtly unpopular policies,
such as opposition to the countrys long-established anti-nuclear
legislation. By distancing himself from the Orewa Speech,
he has already re-established links with the Maori Party as a
possible future coalition partner.
However, tax cuts to one side, Key is yet to spell out his
program in the critical areas of the economy and foreign policy.
The National Business Review warned that the business elite
would be watching him closely, commenting that just because
hes from the so-called blue brigade he cant
just assume hell win over the business community.
In other words, he will have to prove that he can push through
the next stage of the assault on the social position of the working
class.
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