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US-Japan security statement heightens tensions with China
By John Chan
1 March 2005
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A joint statement issued by top US and Japanese defence and
foreign affairs officials in Washington on February 18 has heightened
tensions in North East Asia by explicitly identifying Taiwan for
the first time as a mutual security concern. Those present included
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Defence Secretary Donald
Rumsfeld along with their Japanese counterparts, Foreign Minister
Nobutaka Machimura and Defence Minister Yoshinori Ono.
The formal security statement set out in very general terms
the broad objectives of the US-Japan alliance and included standard
references to North Korea and cooperation on the war on
terrorism. But it was the apparently innocuous reference
to Taiwanto encourage the peaceful resolution of issues
concerning the Taiwan Strait through dialoguethat
was significant.
Since the early 1970s, both countries have adhered to the so-called
One China policythe recognition that Taiwan is an integral
part of China. At the same time, however, Washington has given
guarantees to Taiwan that the US would come to its aid in the
event of any Chinese military attack. In line with that pledge,
the US continues to supply Taiwan with sophisticated weapons systems.
Until now, Japan, concerned not to offend China, has maintained
a more equivocal position. It has never offered any explicit defence
guarantees to Taiwan, which was a Japanese colony prior to 1945.
By simply including a reference to Taiwan in a joint US-Japan
security statement, Tokyo has signalled a more aggressive assertion
of its interests within the region, particularly toward China.
In comments to the Washington Post, Shinzo Abe, acting
secretary general of Japans ruling Liberal Democratic Party,
made the threat more explicit. It would be wrong for us
to send a signal to China that the US and Japan will watch and
tolerate Chinas military invasion of Taiwan. If the situation
surrounding Japan threatened our security, Japan can provide US
forces with support, he said.
Referring to the statement, a US State Department official
told Reuters: Its diplomatically significant. Militarily
and politically nothing changes. But the fact that Japan, which
does not like to talk about security issues beyond its borders,
is part of the statement reflects our concern and concern in the
region that China-Taiwan is a hot-button issue.
Not surprisingly Beijing, which regards Taiwan as a renegade
province, reacted angrily to the statement, declaring that
it interferes with Chinas internal affairs and hurts
Chinas sovereignty. Chinas state news agency
berated Japan for its wild behaviour in joining with
the US to express their common strategic objectives
in Taiwan.
The Japanese foreign ministry later clarified that any backing
for US military action in defence of Taiwan would be limited to
logistical support because direct military action is prohibited
by the Japanese constitution. Such a reassurance, however, only
confirms that Beijing potentially confronts the joint military
might of the worlds two largest economic powers.
Moreover, since coming to office, Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro
Koizumi has taken definite steps to end the constitutional restrictions
on the countrys armed forces. The Bush administrations
war on terrorism has proven to be an ideal pretext
for revising the constitution to allow for the overseas deployment
of the Japanese military. Japanese warships were dispatched to
the Indian Ocean to assist the US navy during the US military
intervention in Afghanistan. With the deployment of military engineers
to Iraq last year, Japanese troops have now been to an active
war zone for the first time since World War II.
Under the guise of fighting terrorism, Japan is
reasserting itself as a major military power. At this stage, Tokyo
is willing to act as a junior partner in the US and to support
its military adventures. In the future, however, Japan will inevitably
seek to use its military muscle to pursue its own imperialist
interests. It is this possibility that is provoking concern in
countries that previously suffered under Japanese colonial dominationChina
in particular.
The Chinese threat
In Japan and the US, China is regularly portrayed as a military
threat. A CIA report issued to the US Congress on February 16,
for instance, stated that the improved Chinese military
capacity threatened US forces in the region. Such
statements ignore the fact that Chinas annual military expenditure$20
billionis dwarfed by the US defence budget of more than
$400 billion.
Japans own defence spending$50 billionis
also much greater than Chinas. While it has no overtly offensive
weapons such as long-range bombers or nuclear weapons, it has
considerable military muscle. The Japanese Self-Defence Forces
have a similar number of warplanes to Britain, but more combat
personnel, twice as many warships and nearly three times as many
tanks. The government heavily subsidies a military industry of
some 2,500 civilian enterprises, capable of producing
advanced weaponry.
In many areas of military technology, Japan has led the world.
Most of the microchips controlling the US smart weapons
are made in Japan. The material used to coat the surface of US
stealth warplanes is also Japanese technology. It
is estimated that if Japan were allowed to export arms, it would
rapidly capture 40 percent of the market for electronic systems,
46 percent of military vehicles, 25 to 30 percent of aircraft
and 60 percent of naval vessels.
The joint US-Japan statement is in line with Japans more
aggressive stance in recent months toward China. In November,
Prime Minister Koizumi seized on the intrusion of a Chinese submarine
into Japanese waters near Okinawa, to argue for remilitarisation
to counter the threat from China. A National Defence
Program Outline released in December, pinpointed China first time
as Japans largest security concern in the next decade.
Last month, Kyodo news agency leaked Japanese defence ministry
plans for dealing with conflict in Japans south western
islands. Without specifically naming the enemy, the document
called for the rapid mobilisation of 55,000 troops as well as
destroyers and warplanes in the area north of Taiwan, including
Senkaku or Diaoyuan island disputed by China and Japan.
The Koizumi government has also made a definite orientation
to Taiwan. Last year, Tokyo ignored Beijings objections
and issued a visa for former Taiwanese president Lee Teng-hui
to visit Japan. Lee is a long-standing advocate of an independent
Taiwan and a closer partnership with Japan.
Akihiko Tanaka, a China expert at Tokyo University, told the
Financial Times on February 14: The influence of
what they called the China school in the foreign ministry has
obviously declined. There are several recent instances where Japan
did not make concessions, where in the past it would have been
less rigid. Those who are advising a conciliatory attitude towards
China are becoming weaker.
Japan faces a dilemma in relation to China, which is sometimes
called cool politics and hot economics. Japans
booming trade with China has been the main factor behind its limited
economic recovery from a decade-long stagnation. Last year, China
overtook the US as Japans largest trade partner with bilateral
trade of $214 billion or a fifth of Japans total. There
are some 18,000 Japanese companies in China, double the number
a decade ago.
Major Japanese investors have been urging closer relations
with Beijing. But such an orientation comes into conflict with
Koizumis political ambition of creating a social base for
his government by appealing to right-wing Japanese nationalism.
He is the first Japanese prime minister to ignore the objections
of neighbouring countries and openly visit the Yasukuni shrine
to Japans war dead.
China and Japan are rivals for access to raw materials, particularly
oil and gas. Last December, Tokyo outbid Beijing to win the contract
to build an oil pipeline from Siberia. Tensions are developing
in the East China Sea as well. Tokyo claims that Chinese gas exploration
is taking place inside Japans exclusive economic zone.
Tokyo has doubled this years budget for hydrocarbons exploration
in the East China Sea to $217 million.
The joint US-Japanese security statement confirms that Koizumi
has no intention of placating China but is seeking a more dominant
role for Japan in North East Asiaa course that has potentially
disastrous consequences for the entire region.
See Also:
Japan outbids China for Siberian
pipeline
[14 February 2005]
Japan uses submarine
incident to whip up anti-Chinese nationalism
[29 November 2004]
Japanese parliament
gives green light for troops to Iraq
[8 August 2004]
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