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WSWS : Book
Review
What price an American empire?
Part One
Niall Ferguson, Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American
Empire, Penguin Press, 2004, ISBN 0-713-99615-3
By Ann Talbot
7 December 2004
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This is the first of a three-part review.
All British historians, E.H. Carr once said, are Whigs, even
the Toriesbut not in Niall Fergusons case. He is a
Tory formed in the Thatcherite mould, who cut his teeth writing
for Conrad Blacks Daily Telegraph while he was a
research student in Germany. He is also one of the most prolific
historians working today. His most recent book Colossus,
a study of American imperialism follows Empire: How Britain
Made the Modern World (2003), The Cash Nexus: Money and
Politics in Modern History 1700-2000 (2002), The House
of Rothschild: Moneys Prophets, 1798-1848 (2003), The
House of Rothschild, 1849-1998 (2002), The Pity of War:
Explaining World War I (1999) and Virtual Histories: Alternative
and Counterfactuals (1997). Every one of them is a thick doorstop
of a book.
Ferguson is currently Herzog Professor of Financial History
at the Stern Business School, New York University, a Senior Research
Fellow of Jesus College, Oxford and Senior Fellow of the Hoover
Institution, Stanford University, but is perhaps best known for
the television programmes connected with his books and for his
newspaper articles. Since the war in Iraq began he has become
a regular pundit offering his opinion on American foreign policy.
Colossus nods in the direction of history, but is essentially
a book about contemporary American policy in the light of Fergusons
interpretation of history. He is highly critical of the Bush administration
both at home and abroad. This is not to say that he is opposed
to the Iraq war. He is entirely in favour of it. His objection
is that under Bush the USA has not been aggressive enough. At
home Ferguson is concerned that Bush is ignoring Americas
mounting fiscal crisis. Brazils indebtedness is, he points
out, less than that of the United States. If this were an emerging
market the IMF would have intervened by now. No previous imperial
power has been in this position, but the US is propped up by the
Asian banks that need to buy US treasury bonds to prevent their
own currencies from becoming overvalued against the dollar. He
anticipates that this symbiotic relationship could come to an
end and that the shift could be triggered by anxiety over the
US welfare budget. Americas reliance on foreign capital,
he writes, is a balancing act on a very high wire.
The trouble with America, Ferguson complains, is that its citizens
like Social Security more than national security.
In his eyes it is a country burdened by too many policies that
date back to the New Deal. Bushs failure, according to Ferguson,
is that he has simply not done enough to bring welfare spending,
especially Medicare, under control. The decline and fall
of Americas undeclared empire may be due not to terrorists
at the gates or to the rogue regimes that sponsor them, but to
a fiscal crisis of the welfare state at home, Ferguson writes
in Colossus. If America is to succeed as an imperial power,
he argues, the government needs to cut welfare spending more aggressively.
He has no problem with the unprovoked invasion of Iraq. He
accepts that there was no connection between Iraq and Al Qaeda.
But the case for war, he argues, was good enough without trying
to suggest that there was such a link. His response to the failure
of the coalition to find weapons of mass destruction is, he writes,
more fool Saddam.
Where he finds fault with American policy is in the repeated
statements by Bush, Rumsfeld and others that America is not an
imperial power and does not intend to stay in Iraq. While other
empire builders, he writes, have fantasised about
ruling subject peoples for a thousand years. This would seem to
be historys first thousand day empire.
In point of fact a thousand years would have seemed rather
short to the Chinese Empire and even to the Romans, while the
British described their rule as the Empire on which the sun never
set. Only one group of empire builders had the explicit ambition
of creating a thousand year empire and that was the Nazis. Considering
the violent way in which the US has invaded a defenceless country,
bombed its cities, massacred its people and destroyed its infrastructure
the comparison with the Nazis is closer than Ferguson would care
to admit.
Ferguson considers that American foreign policy lacks long
term commitment and has a self-limiting character that was evident
in both Korea and Vietnam. President Truman, Ferguson argues,
should have accepted General MacArthurs plan to drop atomic
bombs on Chinese cities. The United States in 1951,
Ferguson writes, had both the military capability and the
public support to strike a decisive military blow against Maoist
China. Many another imperial power would have been unable to resist
the window of opportunity afforded by Americas huge lead
in the atomic arms race.
Ferguson ignores the fact MacArthur had already provoked the
Chinese to enter the war by advancing to the Yalu River, which
was its border with North Korea. China had no diplomatic relations
with Washington at the time and Mao assumed that the US invasion
of Korea was a prelude to a full scale assault on China. He responded
by attempting to meet the attack on Korean rather than Chinese
soil. Without that provocation it is doubtful that China would
have become involved in Korea, since it was only just emerging
from an exhausting civil war. Under these circumstances Mao would
have been quite prepared to establish cordial relations with Washington.
Sino-Soviet relations were cool and while the two countries signed
a Treaty of Friendship, Alliance and Mutual Assistance in February
1950, its terms were very much more favourable to the Soviet Union
than they were to China. Even in strictly imperialist terms the
option of making China a US ally on the Soviet Unions eastern
border would have been more effective than fighting the disastrous
Korean War. It was to take another quarter of a century for the
US administration of Richard Nixon to establish détente
with China.
While Ferguson paints the US as only reluctantly becoming involved
in military adventures, the historical evidence points to US rather
than Chinese or Soviet aggression being the cause of the Korean
War. MacArthurs provocative actions were in line with the
thinking of the National Security Council, which portrayed the
Soviet Union as a power bent on military domination of the Eurasian
landmass. A growing faction within the US ruling elite wanted
to roll back the Soviet Union, but this would mean rapid rearmament
and an immense increase in the defence budget at the expense of
social programmes. The plan was politically unfeasible until 25
June 1950, when North Korea invaded the South. As Secretary of
State Dean Acheson later said, Korea came along and saved
us.
Acheson may have played a part in creating these circumstances
since he specifically refrained from including South Korea within
the American military defence perimeter in a speech in January
1950. When the North Korean leader Kim Il Sung approached Stalin
and asked for help to reunify the Korean peninsula, Stalin had
no reason to suppose that the US would object. He gave Kim permission
with the proviso, If you should get kicked in the teeth,
I shall not lift a finger.
The Soviet Union sent some military supplies and a few military
advisers, but the North Korean invasion of the South was no Soviet
plot and what would have been a small scale localised war was
only escalated with the US landing at Inchon in September. I should
apologise for introducing material here that is now well researched
and is available to every high school student and undergraduate,
but Professor Ferguson seriously distorts the evidence.
The Korean War led to the remilitarisation of Europe and an
intensification of the Cold War, but had MacArthur bombed Chinese
cities with nuclear weapons it would have started World War III.
The Soviet Union had tested its first atomic bomb in 1949 and
could not have failed to see a nuclear assault on China as a threat.
It could not yet deliver nuclear weapons to American cities, but
would have had no difficulty in devastating most major European
cities. This excursus into the history of the Korean War has been
worthwhile, even if only to point out that if MacArthur had carried
out his plan, the eminent Professor Ferguson would not have been
around to write his books since Europe and Britain would have
been a smoking nuclear wasteland.
Ferguson is not to be deflected from his adulation of MacArthur
by such a minor question as the annihilation of all major European
cities. He particularly admires the way MacArthur challenged the
subordination of the military to the civil power of the elected
president. President Truman dismissed MacArthur after he wrote
to the Republican Leader of the House, openly opposing the official
policy of limiting the war to Korea and not bombing China. MacArthurs
letter was published in April 1951 giving Truman no option but
to sack the general. It was, as Truman wrote in his diary, Rank
insubordination, and was a direct challenge to the principle
that the president, as a civil, elected official had authority
over the military even in time of war.
Ferguson comments, The irony was that in acting as he
didin upholding the authority of the president and the republican
Constitution in the face of MacArthurs challengeTruman
was acting against the popular will.
Trumans popularity ratings did indeed dip in this period.
They went below 30 percent in opinion polls. But we have to look
at who was organising the campaign against him. Senator Joseph
McCarthy fully backed MacArthur and called for the president to
be impeached. In so far as there was a popular will backing MacArthur
against Truman, it was manufactured by McCarthys vicious
red-baiting campaign that identified every liberal Democrat as
a communist and was even insinuating that there were communist
sympathisers close to Truman.
What Ferguson is suggesting is that in order to act as an effective
imperial power, the American political elite needed in 1950 to
overthrow the American Constitution and establish a form of military
rule. This is not so much history as a policy statement, at a
time when President George W. Bush regularly refers to himself
as the Commander in Chief. John Kerry spoke of the
presidency in exactly the same terms during the recent election
and promoted himself as more suitable war leader because of his
military record in Vietnam. Ferguson backed Kerry against Bush
and we get some idea of the right-wing perspective on which he
did so when we read his account of the Korean War.
The militarism that has been expressed in the presidential
campaign can be traced back to the period of the Korean War. Before
then the US had never maintained a large peacetime army, defence
establishment or arms budget. Standing armies were regarded as
an affront to both democracy and a sound budget. The Korean War
precipitated a militarisation of the Cold War and a process of
increasing militarisation in US political life which has over
the course of time fatally undermined its founding principles
that gave elected officials precedence over military leaders.
Fergusons perspective on the Truman-MacArthur conflict is
indicative of the general political outlook expressed in Colossus,
which is backed up with some highly distorted historical reflections.
The full title of Fergusons book is Colossus: The Price
of Americas Empire. The price in question is all too
clearan end to democracy.
To be continued
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