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: Korea
No agreement reached in Beijing over North Koreas nuclear
program
By Peter Symonds
2 September 2003
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Multilateral talks in Beijing concerning the standoff between
the US and North Korea over the latters nuclear programs
broke up last Friday with no agreement. Chinese officials tried
to put a positive gloss on the meeting, indicating that all parties
had agreed to avoid escalating tensions and to meet again in two
months time. However, no formal communiqué was issued.
The following day, North Korea issued a statement declaring
that it saw no purpose in further talks. Pyongyang warned that
unless Washington shifted its hard-line position, North Korea
would have no alternative but to strengthen our nuclear
deterrent force as a self-defensive means... Both sides are levelling
their guns at each other. How can the DPRK [North Korea] trust
the US and drop its gun?
North Korean officials stated in the course of the three-day
meeting that Pyongyang would proceed to build and test a nuclear
device if Washington refused to provide it with security guarantees.
North Korea has repeatedly offered to dismantle its nuclear programs
in exchange for a formal non-aggression pact with the USa
demand that the Bush administration has in the past rejected as
blackmail.
The White House dismissed the possibility of a North Korean
nuclear test, describing the gathering in Beijing as a positive
session. North Korea has a long history of making
inflammatory comments, a deputy spokeswoman told reporters
in Texas. But while Washington and the international media focused
on North Koreas so-called belligerence, it is clear that
the US regarded the talks as a means to bully Pyongyang into accepting
its demands.
From the outset, the Bush administration has insisted that
any talks be multilateral, rather than bilateral as Pyongyang
wanted. Washington prevailed upon China to pressure North Korea
into agreeing to the six-party meeting in Beijing, which also
included Japan, South Korea and Russia. The thinly disguised aim
of such talks was to back North Korea into a corner and, at the
same time, to garner support from the other countries for a comprehensive
economic blockade of the small, impoverished state.
A North Korean foreign ministry spokesman described the negotiations
as not only useless but harmful in every aspect. Betraying
our expectation, the talks turned out to be no more than armchair
arguments and degenerated into a stage show to force us to disarm,
he said.
In the week prior to the Beijing talks, the US and Australia
provocatively announced that joint military exercises in the south-west
Pacific in September would include a rehearsal of techniques required
for stopping and searching ships. The exercise is part of a US-sponsored
plan known as the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI)an
11-nation grouping preparing to intercept ships and aircraft,
including on the high seas and international airspace, to search
for weapons and other illicit cargo.
While the pretext for the PSI proposal is to stop the spread
of so-called weapons of mass destruction, there is no doubt that
North Korea is one of the chief US targets. US State Department
spokesman Richard Boucher emphasised to the media: If North
Korea wants to continue to aggressively proliferate missiles and
related technologies, it might find itself affected by this initiative.
At a meeting in Brisbane in July, the 11 nationsUS, Britain,
France, Germany, Spain, Poland, Italy, Portugal and the Netherlands
as well as Japan and Australiaagreed to support the move
in principle despite the fact that military interdictions on the
high seas or in international airspace are in open breach of international
law. Already steps have been taken to implement stringent searches
of North Korean ships when they enter other national waters or
ports.
Just days before the Beijing talks were due to start, Japanese
authorities in the northern port of Niigata detained a North Korean
ferry for a day on safety grounds. The ferrythe
only ship that operates between the two countrieshas been
the focus of lurid allegations in Japan and the US that it is
used to smuggle everything from drugs to counterfeit cash and
weapon parts. Teams of Japanese inspectors scoured the ship from
top to bottom as well as checking the cargo and passengers, but
found nothing. The vessel was allowed to leave after fixing several
minor safety breaches.
The Beijing talks also coincided with other US military exercises
in North East Asia. American troops were due to hold military
drills based on computer-simulated war games in South Korea from
August 18 to 29. The annual exercise is aimed at testing the readiness
of US and South Korean forces to respond to any emergency
on the Korean peninsula. The US was taking part in joint manoeuvres
with Russian naval ships in the Bering Strait over the same period.
On the eve of the Beijing meeting, the State Department sent
a pointed message to North Korea by releasing a letter by Secretary
of State Colin Powell supporting a belligerent speech by Undersecretary
of State John Bolton in July. Bolton, known for his rightwing,
aggressive views, denounced North Korean leader Kim Jong Il as
a tyrannical rogue state leader and described life
in the Stalinist state as a hellish nightmare. Bolton
was not included in the US delegation to Beijing but Powells
letter backed his speech, declaring it did not really break
any new ground and as such, was official.
The US administration, which cut off humanitarian aid and maintains
tight economic restrictions, is not concerned about the lack of
democratic rights and appalling living conditions inside North
Korea. As in the case of Iraq, Washington is exploiting the plight
of the North Korean people to strengthen US dominance in the region.
By including North Korea in an axis of evil along
with Iraq and Iran in his 2002 State of the Union speech, Bush
effectively declared that regime change in Pyongyang
was also on the US agenda. By publicly backing Boltons views,
Washington was effectively underscoring the point.
Divisions in Washington
All of Washingtons standover tactics appear to have fallen
short, however. In the aftermath of the US invasion and occupation
of Iraq, the Stalinist regime in Pyongyang seems to have concluded,
quite legitimately, that it has absolutely nothing to gain by
bowing to US demands for unilateral disarmament. If the latest
statements from Pyongyang are any indication, North Korea has
decided that the only means of forestalling a similar fate to
that of Iraq is to build, or threaten to build, nuclear weapons.
Since January, North Korea has withdrawn from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Agreement, expelled international weapons inspectors and restarted
its small nuclear research reactor at Yongbyon.
North Koreas tough stance in Beijing has exacerbated
sharp divisions in Washington over policy towards Pyongyang. Several
media reports yesterday indicate that the Bush administration
may be on the point of adopting a softer approachoffering
a series of economic and political concessions, including a security
guarantee, in return for an agreement from North Korea to dismantle
its nuclear program. In effect, it would mark a return to the
so-called carrot-and-stick methods of the Clinton administrationan
approach that was previously denounced by the Republican rightwing.
With US troops bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan, there are
clearly concerns about the prospect of becoming embroiled in a
new, potentially even more explosive, crisis in North East Asia.
An unnamed US official commented in the Boston Globe: Now
[the administration] has learned the hard way that the solution
to this is going to be negotiation. The approach until now has
been terribly inefficient and wasteful. We could have been here
[in negotiations] two years ago.
There is, however, sharp opposition to any toning down of the
Bush administrations aggressive policy towards Pyongyang.
Last week, the Senate Republican Policy Committee issued a paper
calling for a UN resolution to impose international sanctions
against North Korea. It opposed negotiations with North Korea,
stating that such a move would signal to Iran, other rogue
regimes, and would-be treaty violators that they can defy the
international community and get away with it.
The US would no doubt seize on UN sanctions to justify its
plans for a blockade of North Korea, including the interception
of ships and planes. Among the most rightwing sections of the
Bush administration, tough economic sanctions have been viewed
as the means for crippling North Korea not simply to end to its
nuclear programs but to force a regime change in Pyongyang.
North Korea has already declared that it would regard any move
by the UN to impose economic sanctions as an act of war. To date
China and Russia have opposed such a step. But despite the potentially
catastrophic consequences of a military confrontation in North
East Asia, the most hawkish elements in Washington insist that
such a course should be pursued.
An article entitled A Deal with North Korea? Dream on
written by Nicholas Eberstadt, from the American Enterprise Institute,
an influential rightwing thinktank, appeared in the Washington
Post on the eve of the Beijing talks. He bluntly ruled out
any deal over North Koreas nuclear program as little
more than diplomatic wishful thinking, declaring that a
fool-proof independent verification program would be barely distinguishable
from outside military occupation.
Eberstadt concluded: Any genuine progress toward a diplomatic
resolution of the nuclear impasse cannot be expected without fundamentaleven
revolutionarychanges in outlook and policies on the part
of North Koreas leadership. None of the options Washington
and its allies face in North Korea is pleasantbut the time
has come to face them squarely, without diplomatic illusion.
The outcome of the political wrangling in Washington is impossible
to predict. It may be that the Bush administration will pursue
a more cautious diplomatic approach, at least temporarily, as
it attempts to deal with the quagmire it has created in Iraq.
But it is certainly possible that the White House could launch
a new reckless adventure in North East Asia, if for no other reason
than to divert attention from the disastrous consequences of the
most recent one in the Middle East.
See Also:
US prepares military blockade
against North Korea
[20 June 2003]
US rejects North Korean proposals
for defusing confrontation
[5 May 2003]
Pentagon sabre-rattling prior
to US-North Korean talks in Beijing
[23 April 2003]
Bushs evil
axis speech destabilises the Korean peninsula
[15 February 2002]
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