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Analysis : Middle
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UN diplomatic charade on Iraq nears final act
By Bill Vann and Barry Grey
4 November 2002
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One salutary byproduct of a period of profound international
crisis and social upheaval is the shattering of political illusions
built up over previous decades. Washingtons current drive
to war against Iraq and the global eruption of US militarism are
playing just such a role: exposing myths that have long beclouded
the political consciousness of broad layers of working people.
The Bush administrations national security doctrine,
providing for preemptive war against any nation that
it views as a potential threat, has already given the lie to the
notion that Washington acts as a force for peace and democracy
on the world arena. Similarly, the passage last month of resolutions
in both the House of Representatives and the Senate giving Bush
a carte blanche to launch an unprovoked war against Iraq has deflated
the illusion that the Democratic Party represents a progressive
alternative to the Republicans for American working people.
Now it is the turn of the United Nations. The UN Security Councils
unseemly debate on Iraq is exposing the pretense that
the UN is some independent force for world peace and progress.
The sordid maneuvers between the councils five permanent
membersthe US, Britain, France, Russia and Chinarecall
Lenins characterization of the UNs predecessor, the
League of Nations, as a thieves kitchen, i.e., an
instrument of the imperialist great powers for the plundering
and oppression of the great bulk of humanity.
According to all sides, the new resolution demanded by Washington
will likely be passed this week. This document will stand as a
monument to the cynicism of imperialist diplomacy, providing the
US with the sanction it demands for an unprovoked war of aggression.
The substance of the UN debate is ostensibly the establishment
of a new weapons inspections regime in Iraq. In reality, all those
participating in the discussions know that concern over weapons
of mass destruction is merely a pretext for the long-planned
US military action.
Initially, Washington attempted to utilize the absence of weapons
inspectionsinterrupted at US insistence in advance of the
1998 bombing of Baghdadas its pretext for launching a new
war. After the Iraqi regime unexpectedly reached an agreement
with the UN to allow the inspectors to return, the Bush administration
was forced to adopt a new approach.
It set about creating conditions aimed at ensuring that the
inspectors never set foot in Iraq, for fear that their presence
would delay US invasion plans and expose as a colossal exaggeration,
if not outright lie, its pretext for warthe supposed production
of chemical, biological and nuclear weapons. In the event that
the inspectors do return to Iraq, the US is fashioning a resolution
that will provide it ample opportunity to quickly stage a provocation
and create a new pretextIraqi non-compliancefor
the desired invasion.
Even as the diplomatic discussions continue in the Security
Council, the Bush administration continues to proclaim its intention
of invading and occupying Iraq, spelling out plans to appoint
an American military governor to oversee the recolonization of
the country and the transfer of its oilfields to the effective
control of US corporations. Two more aircraft carriers are setting
sail for the Persian Gulf, while thousands of US troops continue
pouring into the region and American warplanes intensify their
bombing of the no-fly zones in open preparation for
war.
While Washington, with the support of Britain, demands that
the Security Council grant it a legal cover for its aggression,
the other Council members insist that a new resolution preserve
the fiction that the UN upholds tenets of international law that
bar precisely such actions. The solution that they are cobbling
together amounts to an agreement to disagree, i.e., Washington
will interpret the wording as a green light for military action,
while France, Russia and China contend the language of the resolution
calls for further consultation. Any one of the five permanent
members has the right to veto a proposed resolution, but the three
recalcitrants have let it be known they will not exercise
their veto power.
There has genuinely been a meeting of the minds,
British Foreign Minister Jack Straw declared last week.
Weve got agreement on the idea of a two-stage approach,
French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin said in an interview
published in Le Figaro, referring to the French demand
that the UN deliberate again if Iraq is found to be violating
the new weapons inspection regime.
Moscow firmly opposes any formulation that would allow
anyone unilaterally to automatically proceed to the use of force,
said Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov. He added, however,
that in the last few days we have succeeded in bringing
the approaches of the five permanent members of the UN Security
Council ... closer. We have converged on a whole series of positions.
The unctuous UN Secretary General Kofi Annan issued a call
for unity. Its a grave matter; its a question
of war and peace, he said. Im still hopeful
that the Council will come up with a resolution that all of them
can sign to, or a vast majority.
It was left to US Secretary of State Colin Powell to spell
out the basis for the new-found unity and the meeting of
the minds between the councils five permanent members.
Under the resolution that is now being shaped, once Iraq is
determined to be in noncompliance, the Security Council would
be called into session to discuss the matter. The final wording,
however, will not specify whether this discussion must result
in a vote on a second resolution approving military action. Utilizing
this procedure, We can accommodate the interests of our
friends without in any way ... handcuffing the United States,
the secretary of state declared.
I cant tell you now how long it might take them
to consider such a report or what action they might take,
Powell added. But as their clock is ticking, there is a
clock that is also ticking on the US side as to whether or not
the violation is of such a nature that the president makes a judgment
in due course that he should act if the UN chooses not to act.
In other words, the UN Security Council is encouraged to discuss
the matter to its hearts content. Meanwhile, US cruise missiles
will be raining down on Baghdad.
While much of the Security Council debate has centered on whether
Washingtons resolution might contain a hidden trigger
for US military aggression, the UNs chief weapons inspector,
Hans Blix, made it clear last week that the trigger is in plain
sight.
First, he spelled out that absent an agreement on the US proposal,
no inspectors will go back into Iraq for fear that there might
be other consequences, i.e., instead of conducting a search
for Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, inspectors
could find themselves on the receiving end of weapons launched
by US warplanes.
Secondly, Blix voiced concerns that provisions within the US
resolution ostensibly intended to tighten the inspection regime
are counterproductive. In reality, these measuresincluding
the removal of Iraqi officials for interrogation outside of their
countryare designed to ensure that Baghdad rejects the resolution,
thereby creating the pretext for US military action.
There would be great practical difficulties, Blix
said, in carrying out the US proposal to spirit Iraqi scientists
and their families out of the country to be interviewed. There
is no possibility that Iraq, or any other government for that
matter, would accept the forced abduction of its citizens in this
manner.
Blix also warned that it would be impossible for Iraq to meet
the resolutions 30-day deadline for filing a complete
and final declaration on the status of its civilian chemical
and biological facilities. Fulfilling this requirement is a precondition
for inspectors returning to the country.
If Iraq is found to have withheld a full and accurate description
of these facilities, it would be considered in material
breach of the resolution and, according to the US interpretation,
subject to attack. The 30-day deadline was set with an eye toward
the US invasion timetable. Pentagon planners have determined that
January or early February offers the ideal window for military
action.
The four other Security Council members are fully aware of
the cynical intent behind the US stance, even as they continue
the diplomatic farce at the UN. Privately, French diplomats
who are close to the action are under no illusion at all: for
them, it is quite clear that Iraq will never comply fully with
the very strict obligations likely to be imposed on it next week
by the Security Council, writes Jacques Amalric, editor
of the French daily Liberation.
The outcome of the Security Council debate was determined in
advance by the character of its principal protagonists, the bodys
five permanent members.
First there is the US, which has spelled out a policy of global
hegemony and demands that the UN provide a rubber stamp or be
condemned to irrelevance. Relying on its unchallenged
military supremacy, Washington has made it clear that that UN
resolutions and international law apply only to lesser countries.
To the extent that it can utilize such legal means to further
its strategic aims, it will do so; should they stand in its way,
Washington will roll right over them.
Expressing unconcealed contempt for the worlds weak and
defenseless nations, Washington acts as global bully and sets
the tone for the Security Council debate.
Next are the second-tier imperialist powers, Britain and France,
which owe their seats on the Council to their status as victors
in World War II and to their former colonial empires, which at
the time of the UNs founding in 1945 still dominated much
of the globe. Prime Minister Tony Blair has aligned Britain with
the US invasion plans, while attempting to mediate an agreement
with the rest of the European Union.
Bitter over Washingtons arrogance and its threat to French
interests in the Persian Gulf and elsewhere, France has thrown
up obstacles to the speedy passage of the resolution demanded
by the Bush administration. Unable to unite Europe behind his
position and petrified of an open break with the US, upon which
French imperialism is ultimately dependent, President Jacques
Chirac is prepared to acquiesce to US war plans.
Then there are the two countries shaped by the reactionary
legacy of Stalinism. Before the dissolution of the Soviet Union,
the Cold War conflicts between Washington and Moscow largely paralyzed
the Security Council, relegating the UNs actions to marginal
areas of global affairs that did not impinge on the interests
of either of the two super powers. It is only the
restoration of capitalism in the former USSR that has made it
possible for the US to seek UN sanction for its planned invasion.
Today, the Russian Federation, with its long-standing political
and commercial ties to the regime in Baghdad and a border barely
300 miles from Iraq, has ample reason to oppose US military action
against the Arab state. But the regime in Moscow, composed of
a gangster element that emerged, in part, from leading sections
of the old Stalinist apparatus, in part, from a predatory petty-bourgeoisie
that stood outside of the Kremlin regime, has no principled basis
to stand in Washingtons way. It is quite prepared to sacrifice
its Iraqi allies in exchange for assurances about
its own imperialistic aspirations, such as in the Caucasus.
Behind the wrangling over diplomatic language to be incorporated
in the UN resolution, both Moscow and Paris are making demands
that they be guaranteed at least a portion of the Iraqi oil business
once a US colonial regime is in place.
In China, the principal concern of the heirs of Mao is that
nothing impede the growth of capitalism in China or infringe on
their own political monopoly. Nothingincluding abetting
a colonial-style war in Iraqis too depraved for Beijings
sclerotic practitioners of realpolitik. As an added
incentive, Washington and the UN have given the Chinese regime
the green light for suppressing its own troublesome Islamic minority,
adding the Eastern Turkistan Islamic Movement, a group operating
in Xinjiang Province, to their lists of terrorist organizations.
Finally, there is UN General Secretary Kofi Annan, who has
worked tirelessly to smooth over differences between the US, on
the one hand, and France and Russia, on the other, with the aim
of brokering a deal acceptable to all parties. At once obsequious
and devious, he personifies the national bourgeoisie in the former
colonial countries, desperate to preserve for itself some placeeven
a small cornerat the imperialist banquet table. His mission
is to provide a UN fig leaf for US war crimes, so as to convince
the US ruling elite that the UN is still a useful tool.
In reality, this institution is what it was created to be over
half a century agoa foreign policy instrument of the most
powerful imperialist nations, above all, the US. Attempts to glorify
the UN as offering some kind of reformist alternative to the oppression
of imperialism have long been the stock-in-trade of liberals,
social democrats, Stalinists and assorted middle-class protest
groups, all of which are hostile to revolutionary socialist politics.
Now this institution can be seen for what genuine Marxists always
said it was.
The end of the Cold War and the eruption of US militarism have
vindicated the analysis of imperialism made by Lenin, who characterized
its political physiognomy as reaction all along the line.
This includes not only Washington, but also its European and Asian
rivals.
Within ruling circles worldwide, reaction is ascendant, but
the drive towards war is an immensely contradictory process that
arises out of the insoluble crisis of world capitalism. Masses
of working people on every continent are passing through experiences
that are shattering old political illusions and posing the necessity
for a new perspective.
The conclusion that needs to be drawn is that the only viable
road to world peace and progress is the struggle to mobilize the
working class of every country on the program of international
socialism.
See Also:
A political strategy to oppose
war against Iraq
[25 October 2002]
US plan for Iraq inspections:
invasion under another guise
[9 October 2002]
The war against Iraq and Americas
drive for world domination
[4 October 2002]
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