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Madagascar: Opposition leader declares himself president
By Barry Mason
1 March 2002
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On February 23, Madagascan presidential candidate Marc Ravalomanana
declared himself winner of the disputed election held in December
2001. He mounted an unconstitutional inauguration ceremony in
the national football stadium in the capital Antananarivo in front
of tens of thousands of his supporters. Ravalomanana has since
appointed a prime minister and has declared his intention to form
a government to rule the island of 15 million people.
Madagascars Constitutional High Court had decided that
neither of the presidential candidatesRavalomanana and the
incumbent president Didier Ratsirakahad won outright in
the December poll, so that a run-off election should be held in
March. A report by election monitors supported the claim of Ravalomananas
supporters that ballot rigging had taken place, but delegations
from the United Nations, the African Union as well as politicians
from France and Francophone African countries urged Ravalomanana
to accept the run-off.
After initially appearing ready to accept a deal Ravalomanana
changed tack, declaring himself president and a de-facto situation
of dual power. He proposed the calling of a national referendum
to decide who was president, though he has since apparently withdrawn
the suggestion.
The initial response from Western governments to Ravalomananas
manoeuvres was highly critical. US State Department spokesman
Richard Boucher said, The United States objects to the action
taken by the opposition presidential candidate Marc Ravalomanana
to declare himself president. We urge Mr Ravalomanana and all
parties to consider carefully the repercussions that extralegal
or violent actions could have on Madagascars future and
its relationship with the international community. The French
government also condemned his actions. This attempt to take
power by force in violation of the constitutional rules of the
country and of the principles of the UN and of the OAU cannot
resolve the present crisis, said a French Foreign Ministry
spokesman.
However, by February 25 Boucher was making more conciliatory
noises. He stated that whilst the run-off election proposed by
the Constitutional High Court was the preferred option, should
both sides agree, we would support a referendum set up to allow
the people of Madagascar a chance to vote in a free, transparent
and democratic election to determine their next president.
Whether this more favourable US response will assist Ravalomanana
in taking control of the whole island is not yet clear. One aspect
of US interest in Madagascar is the possibility of it becoming
a strategic military base. According to Africa Confidential
magazine there is speculation that it could become an alternative
to the base at Diego Garcia, which the US leased from Britain
until 2016.
Ravalomanana, a multi-millionaire businessman, has popular
support in the capital but less backing in the rest of the country.
On January 28 a general strike was called and with continuing
street protests since January, the country has ground to a halt.
Ravalomanana has made efforts to utilise popular opposition to
French imperialism, by asserting that the former colonial power
maintains its influence through Ratsiraka.
Ratsirakas response was to declare a state of emergency,
initially for a period of three months. This gives him power to
rule by decree, ban demonstrations, requisition all public services
and take direct control of the media and communications. The position
that the army will take is still unclear and can play a decisive
role in whether Ravalomananas bid for power succeeds. Although
there has been some conflict in provincial townswith at
least one Ravalomanana supporter killedmass demonstrations
have continued in the capital and there have so far been no moves
by the army to take back control. Ravalomanana is rumoured to
have held talks with the generals and is quoted as saying, much
of the army is with the people.
Ratsiraka, a former admiral, is regarded as having close ties
to the military and the French political establishment. He is
leader of the Arema party (Vanguard of the Malagasy Revolution)
and has been in power since 1975, apart from a period from 1991
to 1996. Since the 1980s he has supported IMF policies to open
up the economy to international capital.
Ravalomanana has no political party and was elected mayor of
the capital in 1999, after a populist campaign that featured cash
hand-outs to the poor. He is vice-president of the Protestant
church in Madagascar and has won support from the main church
groups.
The mass support he has received on the basis of his appeals
to peoples power reflects the absence of any political
alternative and the widespread anger at Ratsiraka who has presided
over an economic disaster. Madagascar is the eighth poorest country
in the world, with 70 percent of the population livening below
the poverty line.
Ravalomanana is Madagascars biggest local businessman,
owning the Tiko food company, and there is no indication that
his economic programme would differ from the present one of offering
cheap labour to attract transnational investment. The creation
of a Zone Franche, a duty free zone, has led to the
creation of 100,000 jobs, mainly in textiles. The duty free status
allows for raw materials to be imported and finished products
exported without additional cost.
The US African Growth and Opportunities Act, lowering tariffs
on selected imports from Africa, has also spurred international
investment. The US clothing company GAP represents more than half
of Madagascars textile production capacity. Reuters report
that the continuing unrest in Madagascar could hit GAP with shipment
and production delays.
See Also:
General strike in Madagascar
[5 February 2002]
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