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: Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe land agreement reflects Wests concern over
instability in Africa
By Chris Talbot
14 September 2001
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The agreement made at the Commonwealth conference in Abuja,
Nigeria last week over the escalating land occupations reflects
the growing concern by the Western powers over a dispute that
has continued for the last 18 months. It is also the product of
increasing pressure from the governments of Africa to settle the
issue, due to fears that it will destabilise the whole region.
The agreement was reached between the Zimbabwean foreign minister
and ministers representing Britain, Canada and Australia. Its
key broker was Olusegun Obesanjo, President of Nigeria. Also present
at the special committee meeting were ministers from Nigeria,
South Africa, Kenya and Jamaica.
Zimbabwe has agreed to call off the occupations by thousands
of squatters led by the war veterans that have taken over about
1,700 of the 4,500 large white-owned farms, making up much of
the prime land in the country. It has agreed to move occupiers
off land that was not designated and put them on legally
acquired land and to speed up the process of de-listing
farms that it does not intend to take over under the supervision
of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
In return Britain has reaffirmed its commitment to make
a significant financial contribution to a land reform programme
and will encourage other Western donors to do the same. No figure
was agreed. Britain, Australia and Canada said they would also
respond positively to requests for supporting elections
and continue to contribute to poverty reduction programmes.
On paper there is little new in this agreement, since Britain
has previously offered a small amount (£35 million) for
land reform in which the white owners were compensated. The promises
of such paltry aid mean little for a country that is on the verge
of economic collapse, has had its lines of credit cut off, and
is under threat of sanctions from the United States and the European
Union. Conversely a recent announcement by Zimbabwes agriculture
minister, claiming that most of the white farms (over 70 percent)
are now designated for government acquisition, raises the question
of what exactly is the criteria for de-listing farms.
President Mugabe and Zimbabwean ministers have given commitments
before to abide by the rule of law and to call off
occupations in the tortuous course of the dispute.
Since the agreement was signed, the war veterans have said
that they will not accept it. But the fact that the Zimbabwean
regime signed the agreement in the presence of key players in
African politics, with Britain dropping its confrontational posture,
makes it likely that there will be some attempt by the Zanu-PF
government to at least rein in the war veterans.
The broader concerns of the Western governments and African
leaders are made clear by the reference in the text of the agreement
to the crisis in Zimbabwe that poses a threat
to the stability of the entire sub-region and the continent at
large. Nigerian Foreign Minister Sule Lamido stressed this
point, saying, Africa cannot afford another war, not least
a racial war or one with racial undertones. It was further
underlined at a meeting in Harare this week of the Southern African
Development Community (SADC) of regional leaders, including South
African President Thabo Mbeki. The current chair of SADC, President
Bakili Maluzi of Malawi, stated, the economic and political
problems Zimbabwe is facing now could easily snowball across the
entire southern African region.
South Africa is the main economy in the regionits GDP
is more than ten times that of Zimbabweand it is stepping
up pressure on the Mugabe regime to regain some stability and
improve relations with the Western powers. The African National
Congress (ANC) government controls most of Zimbabwes fuel
and electricity supplies. Since the beginning of this year, the
South African rand has fallen by 12 percent against the dollar,
as funds have been pulled out. While not wishing to be seen attacking
their neighbour too openly, the ANC is painfully aware that international
investors are citing the deteriorating situation in Zimbabwe as
one reason for pulling out of South Africa.
Growing opposition to the free market policies of the ANC government
is also cited as a major problem by investors. This summer there
have been strikes in South Africa by thousands of workers in the
auto, power and other industries as well as a two-day strike by
millions against the governments privatisation programme.
In Zimbabwe also there have been strikes in the education and
health sector, as well as in the steel industry, in which two
pickets were shot dead by police and two more have subsequently
died of injuries. These strikes have taken place despite the efforts
of the trade unions to keep action to a minimum.
Whilst the land issue is being manipulated by the Zanu-PF regime
in Zimbabwe for its own ends, there are legitimate aspirations
amongst millions of rural poor and landless people in southern
Africa to take back the land stolen from them by white settlers
under colonialism or white minority rule.
The Mbeki government is fully aware that the continued ownership
of the richest farmland by a tiny, mainly white elite is only
the most visible expression of the failure of either Zanu-PF or
the ANC to redress inequalities of wealth in both countries. South
Africa fears that land protests could emerge at home, where black
people own only 15 percent of the land. Despite laws allowing
for restitution, where land can be returned to those
who can prove it was seized under apartheid, little redistribution
of land has taken place since the ANC came to power. Several thousand
from a coalition of landless peoples organisations lobbied the
racism conference in Durban, and South Africa, making world headlines
when the government evicted squatters at Bredell, near Johannesburg
in July. In Namibia also there are 4,000 large commercial mainly
white-owned farms and the Namibia Farmers Union representing
black farmers has protested that only 35,000 farmers have been
resettled since independence in 1990.
The land question in Zimbabwe
Nationalising the land was a central plank of Zanus policy
in the civil war it conducted against the British-backed white
supremacist government of what was then called Rhodesia. On that
basis it won mass support in the rural areas. In the 1979 Lancaster
House Agreement that ended the war, however, Zanu made clear its
real agendathe taking of power by a narrow black elite while
accepting the continued domination of the Western powers over
southern Africa, and collaborating with the white farmers and
mine owners in developing a capitalist economy.
Over the following two decades there were many land occupation
movements, but despite rhetoric from the Mugabe leadership that
white farms would be confiscated, the police evicted those involved.
Only a relatively small number of landless peasants have been
allowed to move on to Resettlement Land. Over 20 years,
about 60,000 small farms have been created, many of which have
not survived, and these were mainly on the poorest land. (In total
about seven million of the 12 million population are rurally based,
with approximately one million black farms, mainly very small
and without modern equipment). Much of this resettlement land
was purchased at market prices from the white commercial farmers
under the terms of the Lancaster House agreement. The white farmers,
who own the bulk of the best quality land occupied by about 4,500
farms, were encouraged to stay in business, producing about a
third of the countrys export earnings.
After gaining independence, virtually all of the nationalist
regimes in Africa enjoyed a limited economic expansion. The World
Bank accepted nationalisations and even welfare state measures
in the 1960s and 70s as a way of countering the influence of the
Soviet Union. But the nationalist elites had little or no genuine
independence from Western imperialism, and by the 1980s they had
largely accepted IMF-World Bank structural adjustment programmes.
Free market measures, the privatisation of the state sector and
the opening up of economies to the world market became the norm.
The result for most of the population of sub-Saharan Africa has
been devastating. From 1987 to 1998, for example, the number of
people living in poverty (on less than a dollar a day) has increased
from 217 million to 291 million, roughly half the total population,
according to the World Banks own figures.
In Zimbabwe, the position was somewhat different because the
white minority regime had set about building up its own economy
under the siege conditions of the civil war and sanctions. In
the 1980s, Zanu-PF was able to utilise this local wealth as thousands
of white settlers fled the country. Welfare measures were expanded,
in particularly in the education sector. For a period the new
small commercial farms that were set up and supported by the regime
were regarded as an African success story. But by the 1990s the
Mugabe government had to accept the domination of the global economy
and abandoned its pretence that it was going through a national
democratic phase of a revolution that would at some future
date enter a socialist stage.
Accepting IMF structural adjustment meant opening up its industry
to foreign competition, particularly that of South Africa after
the end of sanctions that had been imposed during apartheid. As
well as closing down sections of local industry, the state sector
was cut back and opened up to privatisation. This precipitated
a sharp economic decline, compounded by falling prices for tobacco,
one of its main exports.
The impact on the population was dire. To give just one statistic,
infant mortality shot up from 52 to 69 per 1,000 live births between
1990 and 1997. As the level of debt increased the IMF demanded
that the government made further expenditure cuts.
Zimbabwe also entered the war in the Congo, supporting the
Kabila regime in return for diamonds and other natural resources.
The Zimbabwean army organised its own business ventures, cutting
across Western interests that wanted its own mining corporations
to exploit the region.
Eventually in 1999, negotiations between the Mugabe regime
and the IMF broke down, cutting off Western credit and forcing
the economy into even steeper decline. The Zimbabwean government
was not prepared to see its public finances, which stood at the
core of its system of political patronage, slashed even further.
How the class struggle was derailed
In response to the economic devastation produced by the IMF
measures imposed by the Zanu-PF regime a wave of strikes, protests
and land occupations developed during the 1990s. In the absence
of any alternative socialist policy, however, the urban opposition
to the regime was dominated by a coalition made up of the trade
union bureaucracy and business interests, including sections of
the white farmers. Organised in the Movement for Democratic Change
(MDC), these pro-imperialist forces nearly succeeded in winning
a majority in the elections of June last year. Backed by the Western
powers, with Britain at the forefront, the MDC advocates a crash
programme of free market measures, claiming that Zimbabwes
virtual economic collapse is due entirely to the corruption of
Zanu-PF and its failure to strictly apply IMF measures.
It was the impasse with the IMF and the growth of support for
the MDC that led the Zanu-PF regime in 2000 to give its backing
and financial assistance to the war veterans movement and to step
up the farm occupations. It was both an election strategysince
Zanus base of support was traditionally in the rural areas
where the demand for land was popularand, more importantly,
a bargaining ploy to pressurise the Western powers. Scenes of
white farmers being driven off their land by gangs armed with
clubs and axes were intended to force a renegotiation of credit
terms.
Whilst there has been rhetoric from Mugabe and Zanu-PF leaders
that this was a return to the national liberation war, there has
been no pretence that there is any possibility of a return to
the nationalised economy of the 1980s. Despite the pompous speeches
about the importance of the land question, Zanu-PF has no coherent
strategy for agricultural development, and merely hopes to get
Britain and the West to back off from their efforts to topple
Mugabe and renew the supply of monies and credit, most of which
will go to Zanu-PF supporters. The Mugabe regime has also attempted
to defend the position of the elite and military top brass by
negotiating loans from Libya, and extending its business operations
in the Congowhich now includes logging in vast areas of
tropical rainforest.
Many of the farm occupations have taken the form of intimidation
and sabotage, breaking up mechanised large-scale estates without
any provision of alternative resources. The Zimbabwe Farmers Union
(ZFU), representing about 300,000 small farmers, has pointed out
that Zanu-PF has even abandoned its own agricultural programme
and is doing nothing about providing an infrastructure for the
occupiers.
Over 300,000 farm labourers that work on the commercial farms
are now facing not just unemployment, but homelessness. Many of
them are immigrants from neighbouring countries and are being
driven out of their homes by the war veterans occupation,
with hundreds now camped along the roadside next to the occupied
farms. As well as the eight white farmers killed in the occupations,
28 black farm workers have also died.
The reckless policies being pursued by the Mugabe regime do
risk provoking a civil war, but not the race war cited
by Nigerian Foreign Minister Sule Lamido. The conflict threatened
by the combination of Western efforts to destabilise Zimbabwe
and Mugabes demagogic use of the land question is between
the rural poor, particularly the most oppressed and backward sections
of the peasantry on one side, who at this point are backed by
the police and army, and the workers and poor in the cities. Mugabe
has had some success in portraying urban workers opposed to his
regime as imperialist stooges, thanks to the pro-Western
policies pursued by the trade unions and the MDC. The dangers
posed by such a development are acute, in a country where desperation
is created by the fear of economic collapse and food shortages.
The only alternative to the disastrous leadership of the African
bourgeoisie, whether or not it continues to espouse the rhetoric
of national liberation like Zanu-PF, or gives open
support to the free market like the MDC, is for the working class
of the region to develop an independent socialist movement that
would win the backing of millions of small peasants and rural
poor. A socialist policy for the resolution of the land question
would first and foremost recognise the necessity for democratic
control and social ownership not just of agriculture but of industry
and banking also, and on a continental scale and ultimately global
scale.
There is no possibility of an agricultural development being
made in Africa without a repudiation of the huge levels of debt
owed to the Western banks. It is also necessary to develop a plan
for the economy that provides for the whole population, rather
than being primarily a source of minerals and raw materials that
from colonial times on has benefited only Western corporations
and a tiny elite. Such a plan would recognise the legitimate aspirations
of millions of poor people for land in southern Africa, whilst
encouraging the development of the most productive techniques
to provide food for the rapidly expanding urban centres. Throughout
much of Africa, the main rural production is subsistence agriculture,
which cannot meet the needs of an expanding population.
Mechanisation, provision of chemical and organic fertilisers
and pesticides, as well as making available scientific expertise
has long been recognised as basic requirements to increase food
production in Africa. Small-scale private producers should be
assisted with interest-free loans, but the ultimate requirement
must be the development of the most advanced large-scale agricultural
production, run collectively and socially owned, as opposed to
the present profit-based large farms that are owned by a wealthy
and mainly white elite.
See Also:
Zimbabwe: Relations
between MDC opposition and Mugabe deteriorate
[13 October 2000]
Zimbabwe: Promotion
of the MDC by middle class radicals politically disarms the working
class
[7 October 2000]
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