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The sinking of the Kursk and the crisis of the Russian military
By Ute Reissner
29 August 2000
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The sinking of a nuclear submarine of the Russian North Sea
fleet on the 12th of August occurred in the midst of a conflict
between the Defence Ministry in Moscow and the Russian Chief of
General Staff, which had grown increasingly heated over the previous
weeks.
The dispute, which apparently runs right through the government
and military, has its roots in the NATO war against Yugoslavia
and has been brewing for over a year. It is a consequence of the
difficulties facing the Russian military in measuring up to the
tasks imposed upon it by Moscow under conditions of a general
deterioration of equipment, discipline, pay and morale. It stems,
in other words, from the contradiction between the deplorable
economic situation of Russia and the striving of the ruling elite
to consolidate itself internally and at the same time adopt the
airs of a great power on the world arena.
At the beginning of July of this year the Chief of the Russian
General Staff, Kvashnin, presented the government with a proposal
for the radical restructuring of the army, envisaging a six-fold
or seven-fold reduction of the nuclear strike force by the year
2003.
Kvashnin's proposals went far beyond the reductions contemplated
for Russia within the terms of the START-II-treaty for the decommissioning
of weapons agreed with the US in 1997. Kvashnin proposed the virtual
dissolution of Russia's independent nuclear strike forces, with
the weaponry to be redistributed between the army, air force and
navy.
The justification given by the General Staff was that the Russian
military urgently required more money for its conventional strike
forces. Otherwise, it would not be in a position to successfully
prosecute its war in Chechnya. For future interventions in the
Caucasus, in Central Asia and, in general, for the struggle against
terrorism it was necessary to insure that adequate
means were available. The army chiefs in Chechnya, it was said,
unequivocally supported this position. Kvashnin is their man and
has himself led two military operations in Chechnya.
For his part, Defence Minister Igor Sergeyev described Kvashnin's
proposal as an act of madness, amounting to the complete
disarmament of Russia in the face of the threat from NATO and,
in particular, the US. The plans of Marshal Sergeyev, who prior
to his nomination as minister was supreme commander of the country's
nuclear forces, envisage a drawing together of the various nuclear
strike forcesair-based, water-based and ground-basedunder
a single central command and a concentration of defence spending
in this area.
It came to an open altercation at a sitting of the military
heads in the middle of July, when Kvashnin and his supporters
opposed the defence minister and categorically demanded more money
for the war in Chechnya. The dispute became public, an unparalleled
development up until then, and eventually, on July 31, President
Vladimir Putin fired seven senior generals who were employed in
the Defence Ministry. Those sacked were responsible for the following
departments: radiation, chemical and biological protection, air
defence troops, armaments, missiles and artillery, foreign economic
relations, ground troops and the press service. A number of other
leading officers were also forced to go, leading to reports in
the Russian press of a veritable purge.
On August 11, one day before the catastrophe on the Kursk,
the National Security Council met and the same differences of
opinion emerged in the course of the meeting.
The military manoeuvres involving the Kursk had begun on August
10. It was the largest naval manoeuvre carried out by Russia in
years, and was based on the official military doctrine of the
government as put forward by Sergeyev. Amongst other exercises,
the navy practised the firing of cruise missiles, long-range rockets
and torpedoes. As in manoeuvres which had already been carried
out in June of last year and which, according to military reports,
took place in consideration of the experience with NATO
in the Kosovo war, the scenario was one of confrontation
with NATO. After last year's manoeuvre, the Kursk had sailed to
the Mediterranean and simulated an attack on a US carrier battle
group.
The war against Yugoslavia in the spring of last year led to
a reshaping of Russian defence and military doctrine. NATO actions
under the leadership of the US, which carried out bombing raids
without a mandate from the United Nations, were regarded as a
direct threat to Russia. Chief of General Staff Kvashnin stated
at the time that the West was demonstrating a growing readiness
to impose military force at various levels in a very direct and
brutal manner. This was demonstrated by the operations
in Kosovo and Iraq. Kvashnin added, We must assume
that they will also proceed against other targets, including those
which are former Soviet territory.
Putin's rise to the head of state was directly bound up with
this development. In March of 1999 Putin, at that time head of
the domestic intelligence agency FSB, was appointed to the additional
post of secretary of the National Security Council. In April 1999,
under his leadership, the Security Council began to rework Russia's
defence policy. Existing military doctrine, signed by Boris Yeltsin
in December 1993, was revised. The expansion of NATO towards
the East was now expressly declared to be a threat to Russian
security. The new concept was tested out in various manoeuvres,
and finally in October two papers laid down new concepts for national
security and military doctrine.
On the basis of these drafts Putin, as newly appointed head
of government, undersigned a changed national security doctrine
in early January 2000. The most significant change was a revision
of limitations governing the use of nuclear weapons.
According to the previous doctrine, the use of nuclear weapons
had been limited to circumstances that constituted a threat
to the very existence of the Russian Federation as an independent
sovereign state. According to the new doctrine, the use
of nuclear weapons is justified if all other means of resolving
the crisis situation have been exhausted or proved ineffective.
Such a situation had been simulated in a manoeuvre carried out
in the summer of 1999, which assumed a NATO attack on the Russian
enclave of Kaliningrad. According to the scenario upon which the
manoeuvre was based, Russian conventional strike forces were only
able to hold out for three days.
The emphasis on nuclear capability was supposed to increase
the weight of the new rulers of Russia on the international stage,
and went hand in hand with a strengthening of the state against
the country's own population. Putin invoked the glories of great
Russia and promised to establish order with an iron fist,
knowing that, for the time being, he had the backing of the security
apparatus as well as the military.
In April of 2000, just after officially taking over the post
of president, he visited the North Sea fleet in the full glare
of the media, sailed with the nuclear submarine Karelia, which
carries cruise missiles in the Barents sea, and attended its test
firing of two intercontinental rockets.
To the extent that he was not able to prevent the further economic
decline of the country, enthusiasm for Putin sank rapidly among
sections of the military. The deplorable level of equipment and
pay for the troops remained as catastrophic as they had been previously.
The ten-year decline of the military proceeded apace.
Russia was attempting to maintain its role as a military world
power, on a par with the US, under conditions where the Russian
defence budget amounted to four billion dollars, compared with
the US budget of three hundred billion.
Numerous reports have been published in the international press
in connection with the sinking of the Kursk which, taken together,
provide a devastating picture of the state of the Russian military.
According to foreign experts, it is estimated that of the 1.2
million Russian soldiers who remain from the original five-million-strong
army of the Soviet Union, no more than two hundred thousand are
actually capable of combat.
Pictures of rusting submarines in the port of Murmansk have
been shown around the world, and the state of the rest of the
military is no better. Payment for members of the armed forces
is so badeven officers earn only about 100 dollars a monththat
every form of equipment not nailed to the floor is liable to be
sold off on the black market.
Putin can court the favours of the army, but he is unable to
resolve its crisis and satisfy its demands. Together with the
Kursk, all the dreams that Russia could re-emerge as a great power
now lie on the seabed. A further intensification of conflicts
concerning military strategies between General Headquarters and
the government seems inevitable.
In the past few days Putin has made a number of decisions aimed
at improving his weakened position. Relatives of the sailors who
died in the Kursk are to receive compensationsavings books
with the equivalent of ten years pay. Members of the army and
police, customs officers and prison warders will receive a twenty
percent wage rise from the first of December. Those employed in
the development and production of nuclear weapons will also receive
more money and improved pensions. However, compared to the scale
of the economic decline of Russia, these measures amount to no
more than mere gestures and signs of helplessness.
The crisis of the military reflects the extraordinary weakness
of the Russian bourgeoisie. Unable to implement any type of economic
development, the new Russian ruling elite is unable to emerge
as an equal player on the international stage. It compensates
for its physical and spiritual inadequacies with national self-adulation
and pompous symbolism, not the least of which was the recent naval
exercise. To maintain this combination of incapacity in fact and
omnipotence in words, the 118 sailors of the Kursk paid with their
lives.
See Also:
Putin's Chernobyl: the tragedy
of the Russian submarine disaster in the Barents Sea
[23 August 2000]
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