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Libya's Colonel Gadhaffifrom pariah to African "statesman"
By John Farmer
22 July 1999
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Colonel Muammar Gadhaffi, the Libyan leader, has undergone
a significant transformation as the country emerges from seven
years of United Nations' sanctions. Dubbed the godfather
of terrorism by the US, he is now being hailed by the European
imperialist powers as the new elder statesman of Africa. The rehabilitation
of Gadhaffi has seen him acting as mediator in conflicts such
as the Eritrean-Ethiopian war; the war in the Democratic Republic
of the Congo (where the United Nations welcomed his role); the
Sudan civil war and the war in Sierra Leone. He even offered to
negotiate in the US-NATO war against Yugoslavia.
At the beginning of June this year, the Libyan leader received
support from President Jacques Chirac, in an as yet unpublished
diplomatic note on improving bilateral relations with France,
for his efforts to secure peace and stability in Africa. Once
the Organisation of African Unity voted to oppose UN sanctions
in June 1998, it became almost a ritual for various African leaders
to demonstrate support for Gadhaffi by flying their VIP planes
into banned Libyan airspace to discuss religious or African
affairs. This met with only minor rebukes from the UN and
the US.
At the age of 27, Gadhaffi came to power in a military coup
on September 1, 1969, ending the 18-year rule of King Idris. He
went on to nationalise the mainly US-owned oil fields, providing
the financial means to rapidly develop Libya's economy. Libya
has the highest per capita income of any African country, and
has no foreign debt. For example, its population of 5.6 million
people and gross domestic product of $23 billion compare favorably
with Uganda (20.3 million people and only $5.8 billion), or Kenya
(27.8 million people and a GDP of $8.7 billion). The Reagan administration
in the United States established unilateral sanctions against
Libya in 1986, citing alleged Libyan involvement in international
terrorism, and targeted Gadhaffi personally in a bombing
raid on his desert home that killed his adopted daughter that
same year.
UN sanctions were imposed against the country in April 1992,
after it refused to turn over two Libyan nationals, accused of
responsibility for the 1988 bombing of Pan Am Flight 103 over
Lockerbie, Scotland. The sanctions were suspended on April 5 this
year, when the United States, Britain and Libya agreed on the
hand-over and conditions for the trial of the two men in the Netherlands.
The suspension of sanctions has opened a flood of political
and business leaders into Libya. In early July 13 British Labour
MPs were set to go to the Libyan capital, Tripoli, alongside a
delegation of businessmen. Although the Department of Trade had
given the green light for the visit, the Foreign Office called
it off.
This was because Britain had broken off diplomatic relations
15 years ago, over the accusation that a gunman in the Libyan
embassy had shot dead a British policewoman during a demonstration
outside the building in 1984. Not wishing to lose the lucrative
business deals that were now opening up, British Foreign Secretary
Robin Cook cobbled together a statement with Libyan diplomats
that Libya accepted "general responsibility" for the
killing. The trade mission was then given the go-ahead five days
later.
Companies such as AGIP of Italy and Total of France have produced
about 30 percent of Libya's oil since the 1980s, its own nationalised
oil industry producing the rest. A new law regarding oil production
will be implemented in the year 2000, overturning restrictions
on foreign operators stretching back nearly 40 years. This will
open up the nationalised oil and gas sectors to tenders from foreign
investors. The new law was announced by Energy Minister Abdullah
al-Badri at a Geneva conference in April, held to discuss oil
and gas investments. Registration for the conference almost doubled
on news of the easing of the sanctions. An oil industry consultant
at the meeting, George Joffe, was quoted as saying: "There
is a very simple statistic, to exploit oil in Libya it costs only
five dollars a barrel. Even with oil prices at $10 its interesting'.
US companies are very disappointed.
Gadhaffi has abandoned the project of the Socialist Peoples
Libyan Arab JamahiriyaSocialism inspired by Islamand
embraced the opening up of the economy to international finance
and the transnational companies. His nationalist ideas were always
opposed to genuine socialism. The system of political rule, the
so-called General People's Congress, was designed to perpetuate
Gadhaffi's one-man rule. Political opposition and newspapers are
still banned. According to Amnesty International, hundreds of
political prisoners and Muslim oppositionists are held in Libyan
jails without charge or trial.
Oil reserves in Libya are roughly the same as those of the
US, around 30 billion barrels or 3 per cent of known world resources.
As much as 95 per cent of the country's export earnings are based
on the sale of oil products. Most food is imported and Libya has
no inland surface water, and no rail system. The government is
involved in the largest civil engineering project in the worldtransporting
water from desert wells to irrigate crops in order to reduce its
dependency on imported food.
Relations have never been so good with its ex-colonial ruler
Italy, which has taken the lion's share of the overseas investment
of Libya's oil wealth. The Libyan government owns large blocks
of shares in premier Italian companies like Fiat and ENI. Italian
firms are competing with other European consortiums for the Front
End Engineering and Design contract (FEED), worth $5.5 billion.
The aim of this project is to build a gas submarine pipeline from
Libya to Italy under the Mediterranean Sea that will carry 10
billion cubic meters of gas annually out of Libya's trillions
of reserves, 8 billion going to Italy. Joint ventures between
Libya and Italy have been established, investing in the West African
textiles industry.
Apart from the bonanza for European investors in the oil and
gas industry, Gadhaffi is putting billions of dollars worth of
contracts out for tender in the development of the infrastructure
and armaments. $60 million are to be spent on a tourist complex,
with contracts going to Japanese travel companies. State-owned
Libyan Arab Airlines and British Aerospace are negotiating on
rebuilding the civil aviation sector. The Middle East Economic
Digest wrote: Jets that fly into Tripoli airport will
be bringing in contractors, bankers, and consultants who will
no doubt play a role in defining the nature of the economic system
that will evolve in Libya. Other contracts are with Russia
for MiG 31 interceptor jets, and the possibility of British Aerospace
selling military hardware is also being discussed. There are proposals
for Russian and Chinese involvement in a new 2000 kilometre railway
system.
Alongside his new relationship with the major European powers,
Gadhaffi is discussing with Arab and African leaders in setting
up trading zones or economic communities. The Libyan
leader is quoted as saying: The world today is inclined
towards blocks where there is no place for small entities.
In Africa, the Sahel-Saharan Community combines Libya,
Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Niger and Sudan. Gadhaffi is discussing
an attempt to revive the Maghreb Union, comprising Morocco, Algeria
and Tunisia. As well as the economic issues, there are discussions
on combining military forces and a joint "anti-terrorist
strategy". A spokesman for the United Arab Emirates, who
sent a delegation of 40 trade representatives to Libya, said,
Right now Dubai is undergoing a crisis, a dilemma over where
to invest next ... People from Dubai don't find much charm in
entering the Caspian region after the Russian crisis.
Free trade zones jointly run by Egypt and Libya have been set
up, operated by Egyptian workers brought back from Thailand and
as well as those recruited from among the two million Sudanese
immigrants in Libya.
European companies presently face no competition from their
US counterparts because America's unilateral sanctions against
Libya do not expire until the year 2001. Gadhaffi is keen for
relations with the US to be normalised. Sanctions have stopped
the import of US-manufactured spare parts, restricting the repair
and upgrading of oil wells originally developed by America, and
Libya has more oil than it can deal with.
At this point, however, the US has not even agreed to the lifting
of UN sanctions, and it did not support Britain's move to re-establish
diplomatic relations in June. The Clinton administration has demanded,
amongst other things, that Libya must "end and renounce all
forms of terrorism" and "acknowledge responsibility
for the actions of Libyan officials", even before the trial
over the Lockerbie bombing has concluded. The US will not stand
passively by and watch the scramble back into this strategically
and economically important area by its European competitors and
its options will certainly include a possible military intervention.
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